« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Haslam shows all around lead in Tennessee

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  July 26th, 2010 at 01:00 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Haslam McWherter

From UnlikelyVoter: Tennessee is the state that most moved away from the Democrats in 2008 at the national level. Barack Obama ran worse there against John McCain than John Kerry did against George Bush.

The Republican trend there seems to continue as Mason-Dixon’s poll of the Governor’s race there for The Tennessean shows every Republican on top.

The news is especially good for Bill Haslam, as he leads all around. In the Republican primary he leads with 36 to Zach Wamp’s 25 and Ron Ramsey’s 20 (MoE 5) for a clear 86% probability of leading Wamp in my estimation.

In the general election carpet bomb, Democrat Mike McWherter trails all three men. He’s close to Wamp and Ramsey though, only behind 45-38 and 43-38 respectively, but his support tails off strongly against the frontrunner. McWherter is behind Haslam 49-31 (MoE 4 for the general), giving McWherter a tiny 2% chance of being up.

Tags: , , , , , , , ,
Get Alerts

COMMENTS

POSTING RULES  |  LOGIN TO COMMENT  |  REGISTER TODAY
  • rdelbov

    I think Wamp-Ramsey-Haslam are all solid conservatives.

    I voted for Haslam. The polls are right as he has geography and strong UT connections on his side.

    I look for Haslam to be a primary and GE winner

  • Praying

    Bill Haslam – a “lifetime” member of the NRA – since July 2009. Voted against allowing permit holders to carry in bars. And parks. Bill’s a nice enough guy, but Big Jim (Bill’s Daddy) Haslam already has his finger in the pie at UT – do we really want Pilot Oil calling the shots in Nashville too? Wamp is a Washington insider. Broke his vow to limit his terms in congress. Voted for TARP. And Earmarks. Ron Ramsey is the conservative that Tennessee needs. He will stand up to the continuing over-reach of the Federal Gov’t. He supports 2nd Amendment rights – and is the only candidate to actually HAVE a carry permit. He supports repeal of Obamacare. As the Lt. Governor having dealt with the Tenncare disaster, he knows firsthand that the states cannot afford Obamacare. He is a strong advocate of the 10th Amendment, and state sovereignty.

    Bill Haslam is a nice guy. In ordinary times, he’d probably do OK as governor. Many of my friends are voting for him. Many are personal friends of the Haslams. But that doesn’t mean he’s the best man for the job. These are not ordinary times. And I don’t think Bill Haslam even has a clue how at risk we are with this current administration.

  • tngal

    And yesterday’s results of the poll only reinforces what we already know: Tennessee has a lot of mods. Blue dogs and republican mods as well. The early voter numbers look good for the Republicans so that’s a plus. Ramsey has done more good for us than a lot of state lawmakers and I’d like to see him in Washington some day messin’ with the squishies.

  • rdelbov

    he has been very solid as lt Gov (really senate majority leader but TN does not have a LT Gov so a state senator is elected Lt Gov)–he would be great as US senator when Lamar retires (say 2014)

    of course local US rep Marsha Blackburn would also be a cracker jack US senator

  • Mary Beth

    They all three seem pretty good to me. I’m almost at the point of using the eenie meenie minee mo method of picking.

    Unless someone here has some guidance on who’s the best of the lot that is.

  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    if his campaigning didn’t suck.

    Which makes me wonder who he is listening to.

    I haven’t really made a choice between any of them because they all lack… something.

  • tngal

    You might like this:

    http://services.tennessean.com/news.aspx/2010-tn-governor-race

    you can group several candidates, then pick an issue like economy and look at all the questions they asked related to the eocnomy and see how the candidates answered.

    Yesterday I posted a diary asking Tennesseans to give their opinions on any and all TN races, gov on down. Whatever their interest was. We’ve got some fairly good people running against Lincoln Davis in dis 4, I’m going with DesJasrlais there but sought to spur conversation. Nada. Well, I did bag one Texan but nothing from the volunteer state. They may be keeping everything close to the vest this year which is a shame.

  • Jim Tomasik

    That would be a campaign. I’m beginning to think he is relying on the TEA Parites to much to carry his water.

  • janis

    Haslam is Mr. Nice Guy, but he’s not a conservative, at least not compared to Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey. His high numbers in the polls reflect his ability to pay for lots and lots of nicely produced TV ads. The narrator sounds a whole lot like the guy who does the CrackerBarrel commercials. Zach Wamp lost my vote when he accepted money from Bart Stupak’s PAC and, when called on it, he said that Stupak was an old and dear friend and he wasn’t returning the money.

    In my book, you’re known by the company you keep. If Wamp’s idea of great friends is someone like Bart Stupak, then he’s got a problem. Co-opted by D.C., no doubt. Ramsey is the only one who is close to the conservative ideal.

  • Jim Tomasik

    …

  • http://hillbillypolitics.com Steph C

    Relying on the TEA parties too much. Palin endorsed Heil, with whom I’m not all that impressed, though she seems to be a little more active than she was when I was looking hard for differences between a total of 13 R candidates. Hartline and Hall seem to be the biggest funds raisers and Hall’s just a little too… moderate for my tastes. If he wins the primary, okay, he’s got my vote but…

    I’m not an endorser of candidates. I don’t think I have the political savvy to make those kinds of calls. All I can do is make the best choice for me.

    I like Ramsay, I really do, but his campaigning leaves a lot to be desired and somebody needs to bend his ear and tell him to get on the ball and get serious because it is not an automatic in this anti-incumbent climate.

  • earlgrey

    for Republicans for TN Governor (left side of homepage). They also have a candidate questionaire with responses from all 5 candidates for the primary. They clearly favor and endorse Ramsey so take that into consideration if you choose to look at the website.

  • Emmett_James

    Ramsey and DeJarlis. Ron had best get a real campaign going or he’s going to get run over by Haslam’s money. Wamp is nuts and Haslam’s not a conservative.

  • Mary Beth

    I’ll look into these tools.

    And Jim Tomasik… I know Ramsey and I know he’s a good guy. But that doesn’t mean he’s the best for this job. Thus my call for help.

    :)

    Thanks again all!

  • mickeywhite

    Marsha Blackburn Voted FOR:
    Omnibus Appropriations, Special Education, Global AIDS Initiative, Job Training, Unemployment Benefits, Labor-HHS-Education Appropriations, Agriculture Appropriations, U.S.-Singapore Trade, U.S.-Chile Trade, Supplemental Spending for Iraq & Afghanistan, Prescription Drug Benefit, Child Nutrition Programs, Surface Transportation, Job Training and Worker Services, Agriculture Appropriations, Foreign Aid, Vocational/Technical Training, Supplemental Appropriations, UN ?Reforms.? Patriot Act Reauthorization, CAFTA, Katrina Hurricane-relief Appropriations, Head Start Funding, Line-item Rescission, Oman Trade Agreement, Military Tribunals, Electronic Surveillance, Head Start Funding, COPS Funding, Funding the REAL ID Act (National ID), Foreign Intelligence Surveillance, Thought Crimes ?Violent Radicalization and Homegrown Terrorism Prevention Act, Peru Free Trade Agreement, Economic Stimulus, Farm Bill (Veto Override), Warrantless Searches, Employee Verification Program, Body Imaging Screening.

    Marsha Blackburn Voted AGAINST:
    Ban on UN Contributions, eliminate Millennium Challenge Account, WTO Withdrawal, UN Dues Decrease, Defunding the NAIS, Iran Military Operations defunding Iraq Troop Withdrawal, congress authorization of Iran Military Operations.

    Marsha Blackburn is my Congressman.
    See her unconstitutional votes at :
    h ttp://mickeywhite.blogspot.com/2009/09/tn-congressman-marsha-blackburn-votes.html
    Mickey

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    This pinko *likes* higher taxes on imported goods.

    Listen, Comrade, most of us like Blackburn, and for good reason.

  • Bill S

    100% in 2009.

    Yeah, real “neocon”

  • tngal

    Marsha has proven herself on more than one vote.

  • http://moelane.com/ Moe Lane

    That is all.

  • pamela1631

    A waste of bandwidth.

  • http://www.redstate.com/tnjim TNJim

    of the three in my opinion, neighbor, and I’m voting for him in the primary next month. Speaking of tea parties, a local one has put together a .pdf comparing the three candidates here. Source: SumnerUnited.org (Sorry, couldn’t post the link from my local tea party’s site, it’s members only, but it is the same .pdf they have). Admittedly, Ramsey’s campaign seems to have not found it’s legs while, locally at least, Haslam and Wamp have a series of ads sniping at each other. You’re right about Wamp. He pledged to serve just 6 years in the House, and he has been there 16 years. Methinks he’s a little too cozy with the D.C. cocktail crowd now. His record, at least according to the .pdf, has me wondering how in the heck he’s coming in 2nd in the poll Neil cited. He did vote against national health care, but also voted for several pork barrel spending bills and Cash for Clunkers.

  • http://www.redstate.com/tnjim TNJim

    See my reply to janis above for a link to a .pdf comparing the three. That may also help.

  • Lesstressrx

    Ron is the most conservative among the candidates. Haslam has more money to advertise, but Ron has the Tea Parties working real hard for him. Haslam is the moderate, Wamp is the Washington spender. Ron is the only real conservative running. This is easy to check out. Wamp’s record on spending is easy to get. Haslam has donated to Gore and Cooper, both far left liberals. Democrats on blogs and in the Knoxville paper prefer Haslam. That should tell you something. Like Brown in Mass, Haslam is a moderate. He has even called himself that. Check it out, it is all there.
    The polls may change a bunch before or on Aug. 5