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Sprint Nextel proves the AT&T/T-Mobile merger is good for competition

As I’ve previously covered, the Department of Justice is suing AT&T, claiming its planned merger with T-Mobile USA harms competition in America. My retort has been market reactions to the lawsuit suggest it is the lawsuit that is anti-competitive, benefiting the existing national 4G duopoly: Sprint Nextel and Verizon Wireless.

That Sprint Nextel is jumping in with its own lawsuit now ends all doubt: the AT&T/T-Mobile deal would increase competition, benefiting buyers of high speed wireless service, to the detriment of the current duopoly which would be faced with tougher competition.

Unfortunately, the definitions of various economic terms tend to vary with the person answering the question. But I feel confident in say that regardless of what we call a given market – whether it’s an oligopoly, monopoly, or whatever else – the reason we have competition laws is that competitive markets increase theoretical efficiency, share the wealth created in the market, and keep prices down while increasing volumes sold. That’s because the less competition there is, the more that sellers will diminish efficiency by raising prices, lowering volumes sold, and capturing more of the wealth in the transactions that would be accumulated by the buyers.

Note that AT&T will not be a national monopoly if merged with T-Mobile. Maybe it might be a local monopoly in a few obscure markets serving few people, where Verizon and Sprint maybe aren’t serving there but T-Mobile and AT&T happen to be there, but to set national policy based on a tiny minority of markets is effectively a government reduction of efficiency and transfer of wealth from the majority to that tiny minority. The Obama administration and Sprint Nextel just might try it, though, if nobody puts a stop to it.

Notice also what happens if this market is, in theory, an oligopoly of price setters, rather than competitive price takers. Under this theory, where the merged AT&T/T-Mobile no longer must listen to the market and can set prices as desired… so too will Sprint Nextel/Clearwire and Verizon be able to set such high prices. If investors and Sprint Nextel’s own leadership believed this would happen, the AT&T/T-Mobile merger would be a windfall of profit for Sprint Nextel. As Wikipedia says about oligopolies, “Oligopolies can retain long run abnormal profits. High barriers of entry prevent sideline firms from entering market to capture excess profits.” A less competitive market would set up Sprint Nextel to receive some of those “excess profits.” Great news, eh?

As it turns out though, the behavior both of Sprint Nextel investors, and the company’s leadership themselves, don’t reflect a belief that AT&T/T-Mobile’s merger would create an oligopoly situation, where the three oligopolists would set prices and take higher margins. No, when the DoJ’s lawsuit was announced, Sprint’s and Clearwire’s stocks surged. And on top of that, Sprint fired a separate Sherman Act lawsuit. These are not the behaviors of a firm that stands to become a member of a rule of three oligopolist, ready to cash in at the expense of the public.

No, actually, the behaviors of Sprint and its share price are just what we’d expect if the merger, as I’ve said all along, would increase competition, lowering margins, and putting pressure on the weaker competitor. This isn’t surprising to those who have actually studied the market, as America’s wireless market is the most cutthroat in the world. Our wireless firms take in by far the least revenue per minute billed of the entire OECD. That is, our wireless firms are being pushed to set prices closer to the marginal costs, reducing profit, just like we expect to see in a highly competitive market.

Some point out that at the very high end, 4G Internet is pretty expensive. That’s true. Firstly, it’s new, with fewer subscribers, raising marginal costs. Secondly, the government is preventing competition! That’s right. AT&T is trying to use T-Mobile’s spectrum to do a proper national 4G rollout, but the government is blocking it. LightSquared is trying to get permission to start a national 4G rollout, but the government is blocking it. Two firms stand ready to double the competition, but the Obama administration is in the way.

This is why I question the relationship between Sprint/Clearwire and the White House, why I oppose any government intervention against the merger, and why I’m trying to rally the troops on this. This is important. This is the future of high speed Internet, the future of jobs and economic growth, and government is entirely in the way. Eric Holder and Julius Genachowski are from the government, and they’re here to help, just like Ronald Reagan feared.

COMMENTS

  • jiminga

    is the fact Sprint/Nextel has no net income, and in fact loses money. Most would think that’s an important point to include when supporting the creation of a stronger competitor. The AT&T merger will likely drive Sprint/Nextel into bankruptcy. So much for “healthy competition”.

    Also missing is the suggestion that AT&T might invest in developing it’s own 4G instead of buying it. They certainly seem to have the cash.

    And how much AT&T stock do you own?

  • poorredman

    So Obummer’s admin is also blocking Sprint in that they have announced plans to work together…..

    http://news.cnet.com/8301-1035_3-20084472-94/sprint-lightsquared-unveil-network-sharing-deal/

    Also, what is a ‘proper’ 4g rollout? It’s not like a light switch and the whole country is turned on. Sprint and Verizon have been rolling out 4g just like everyone rolled out 3g, and 2g before that.

    This story is a bit light on technical details and heavy on ‘behavior’ analysis.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Sprint has a national 4G network today, due to its joint network with Clearwire, a firm Sprint Nextel owns I believe a majority of.

    Oops. Your talking points are tired, old, and inaccurate. Nice try though.

  • Finrod

    I haven’t seen anyone else standing up for competition in the free market on this like you have. Great job and keep up the good work.

  • poorredman

    Hmm, I’m the one that needs education because you fail to discuss why Sprint has engaged Lightsquared in plans to roll out LTE service even though they have WiMax coverage from Clearwire?

    The Clearwire network is far from nationally available. A good number of big cities, sure, but try driving 20 minutes outside any of them and see your phone switch to the 3G icon.

    Then you have speed difference between WiMax and LTE, with LTE being the clear winner (no pun intended), My T-Mobile AWS 4g-lite speeds are better than Sprint/Clears 4g, at least here in Austin.

    But heh, I’m the dummy that doesn’t see the big conspiracy between Sprint and the feds trying to stiffle competition. Why should any company put up a fight to stop a competing company from gaining an edge? Just roll over, right?

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    .

  • poorredman

    Just trying to get a discussion going here Neil. Your replies certainly support the idea that you really have no idea what you are talking about in regards to the technology and business structures of the telecom industry. I’ll admit I’m no expert either.

    If you could support some of your anecdotal claims with some meat it would be a much more interesting story. When you say something like “LightSquared is trying to get permission to start a national 4G rollout, but the government is blocking it.”, you make it seem like the guys in Obama’s back room are pulling the strings. When in reality, the technology LightSquared is using, on a different frequency band than other LTE players, is causing problems with GPS signals.

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303657404576359393184395736.html

    So ya, the 2 firms stand ready to double 4g competition, except one of them might cause military and law enforcement systems to go haywire so Joe Public can watch Jersey Shore on his cell phone while working behind the counter at McDonalds.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    I (accurately) accused you of supporting a political stance.

    You see, here at RedState, we’re conservative Republicans, and we don’t buy that radical left stuff you’re selling.

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    We argue hard around here, but in the end we have plenty of agreement.

  • poorredman

    Where in any of my comments is there a political stance? How about the radical left stuff?

    Don’t be bitter that you wrote an article that has no basis besides you’re own ignorance of the topics. Your ‘proof’ is Sprint’s stock surge on the DOJ lawsuit news on Aug. 30th. It “surged” a whopping 14% from the Aug. 29th opening. Has the news gotten worse for Sprint or better since then? Because the stock today is back to only 2% higher than on Aug. 29th. I mean, the stock market is the ultimate arbitor of value right?