So we’ve got a new poll out from Quinnipiac University looking at Iowa. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has just taken over the Real Clear Politics lead in Iowa by a hair, a finding of Donald Trump 28, Cruz 27 isn’t surprising at all.

What is interesting though is to see who’s winning Iowa’s conservatives, and who’s winning the moderates.

Photo by Gage Skidmore on Flickr

Photo by Gage Skidmore on Flickr

It turns out it’s not even close. Cruz wins “TEA Party” Republicans 45-26 and “Very Conservative” Republicans 34-24. It’s among the center and left wings of the party that Trump takes over: “Somewhat Conservatives” are led by Trump 26-25, and “Liberals” tilt heavily toward Trump 27-8 over Cruz.

Cruz also leads in the “White Born-Again Evangelical” segment 34-24 over Trump, directly contradicting Trump’s claim that he was doing better than Cruz there.

So if Quinnipiac is right, conservatives are speaking up, and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is their choice.