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Dr. Krugman And The Economics of Hauling Coals To Newcastle

We Need More Deficit Spending Like MLB Needs New Performance-Enhancing Drugs

No Problem - Just Spend More

It seems that Keynesian Economists are similar to Bill Murray’s failed character in the movie Groundhog Day. They simply relive their errors until they work off their bad karma and correct their errant assumptions. Yet Dr. Paul Krugman, dominus et deus of the American Neo-Keynesians, seems stuck in an infinite karmic loop. He’s waking up on Groundhog Day forever, and sees the shadow of smaller government on the fringes of his worst nightmares. He opines below on how to prevent a coming economic depression.

“Somebody has to spend more than their income, and, for the time being, that has to be the government,” says Krugman.

Of course when a Republican was in office and the deficit was large, Krugman considered this wasteful. With a Democrat in office, his thinking has….evolved. Now a country that prints its own currency can pretty much spend what it likes. He also espoused some fascinating views on how much of a national GDP governmental spending could constitute. He was asked this on CNBC and didn’t seem to appreciate the querry.

But after persistent and aggressive questioning from both Kernen and CNBC’s Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, Krugman seemed offer 50 percent as a number that would be an acceptable amount of government spending as a percentage of GDP.

At this point an exercise in simple arithmetic suggests that any nation breaking even on its balance of trade would have to tax 100% of its private sector value production in order to balance this size of government with adequate revenues. That would be the 100-100-100 Plan that replicates what would happen if Herman Cain and Nancy Pelosi ever submitted a joint tax reform proposal.

Given a $14Tr US GDP, Krugman is implying a year in which the government executed $7Tr in expenditures. With no change in revenues from recent years Krugman is advocating a $4.5Tr annual deficit. He opines this will prevent a depression. That a tenured professor at MIT who writes a widely-flogged column for the NYT actually believes this is the case depresses me to the point that I need another Gin and Tonic.

Keynesians have learned nothing from the dominoes falling in Greece, Spain, Italy, et al. They have honed in on the exceptional case of Japan so that they could ignore the preponderance of data from most of the rest of the developed world. Dr. Krugman remains trapped in karma’s infinite loop. It’s time for someone to either hit CTRL-ALT-DEL or pull the plug.

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COMMENTS

  • Rusty_S

    .

    • renny

      I would like to have an actual vacation this year. Can I have my money back?

  • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

    SPEND SPEND SPEND!
    We owe it too ourselves
    In the long run we are all dead.

    We can tax spend, borrow, and regulate our way into happy happy prosperity!!!! WOO HOO!!!!!

    • acat

      “We know that big infrastructure projects and economic booms go together, so let’s do some shovel-ready big infrastructure projects!”

      . . .

      That people don’t catch on to this scam is the amazing part.

      Mew

      • aesthete

        the economic gods, and they will rain down their blessings on our economy. Stop spending, and the gods will be very angry — and then where will we be? It’s not easy to find a virgin sacrifice to throw in a volcano, you know.

        Krugman, High Priest of the gods of Mammon, has spoken!

    • bbjaylive

      If you had even an ounce of intellect or humility wouldn’t be spewing the absurd rubbish that you do day in, day out. You have absolutely no ability to make economic arguments which accept reality. Instead you lecture anyone who opposes you with infantile and naive theoclassical doctrine. I can’t expect any less from someone who does sees the world in a childishly black and white view of the world, someone who thinks that anything but unfettered, unregulated free markets is socialism and totalitarianism..

      You practice the same economic cult as the Paulestines who are mocked out out of this site. It’s not economics, it’s a philosophy and A JOKE philosophy at that.

      • gekster

        start calling names.
        And all he was doing was making a sarcastic stement.

        (your socialist liberal slip is showing ;) )

        • gekster

          ntntntnt

        • bbjaylive

          It’s pretty close to the drivel he comes out with anyway.

          • gekster

            Idiot.

            I will point out again, the only one who agrees with you is you.
            I think your socialist economic rants would do better elseware.

            You obviously have no clue to the capitalist mindset,
            but seam to have the socialist mindset down pat.

      • Viet71

        Let’s assume that through government spending, if that’s the means, the U.S. economy is reignited. GDP begins to grow healthily; unemployment falls to what all agree is an acceptable level.

        In this scenario, the middle class presumably has roared back. After all, they’re the ones getting creamed today.

        Question: What sorts of jobs are supporting the middle class in this scenario?

        • bbjaylive

          I don’t why government investment must automatically have connotations with an unnecessary glut of teachers. Infrastructure spending and scientific research should be given 1st priority

          • Viet71

            nothing more

          • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

            If you think that somehow it is spending on infrastructure and research that can jump-start an economy. That is a lie and you know it because modern governments don’t work that way.

            Modern governments, all of them. spend tiny tiny amounts on anything that might be an actual investment. And when they do, it is mostly wasted because the spending is used not on utilitarian goals but are allocated by politics.

            And governments are resistant to that sort of thing, they would much rather just transfer payments from one group to another to buy votes.

            You get angry when we point out the fallacies of your thinking and you want to denigrate our knowledge. But yours seems based upon pure theory, and rather poorly accepted theory at that. While ours is based upon decades of observed phenomenon. You really should expose yourself to some other sources.

          • bbjaylive

            I don’t think that spending on infrastructure and research will jump start the economy. I think suspending all FICA taxes indefinitely will. The spending is long term so that America can maintain its position in the world, decades from now. The UK’s business leaders have been crying out for the Coalition to start investing in infrastructure, and to a certain extent the Coalition have responded to that request.

            We are in a balance sheet recession and I have well-known economists on my side to back that assertion up. This is what Japan went through in the 80s/90s. The private sector is paying off debt, so the government needs to step in so the economy won’t contract. Governments do this naturally because by definition, a government deficit EQUALS net private savings. If you had your way and ran perpetual budget surpluses at the federal level you would sooner rather later annhilate the entire money, because you would be taking money out of the economy.

            What economists or theories are backing up your assertions? Don’t say common sense and history because that is hogwash. The economy isn’t static, just because something happened the first time doesn’t mean it will have the same effect next time.

          • Jack_Savage

            Maybe you are not able. Anyway, as APA Guy noted, you have argued yourself into knots and maybe it is time to clarify some things.

            What economic philosophy has resulted in the problems facing Europe right now? Are you actually saying that unregulated, free-market policies have, or are you saying that Europe is really OK?

            Are you advocating that simply eliminating FICA taxes is all we need to do in order to spur growth here?

            If the social welfare state is not the root cause of Greece’s current situation, as you have stated, what is?

            And one last time, a list of European banks which have gone out of business as a result of exposure to American banks?

            Thanks in advance.

          • bbjaylive

            whether I have argued myself into knots or not.

            No school of thought in particular has lead to Europe’s demise, and if you read my posts, you would already know that. What got Europe into this mess was the single currency union in which resulted in countries forfeiting their monetary sovereignty to the ECB. There’s a balance of transfer payments problem.. Strong economies like Germany don’t want to be sending money into a black hole. Yes Greece was irresponsible and profligate, but Spain WASN’T and yet Spain has very high levels of unemployment.

            I didn’t call for an elimination of FICA taxes. I called for suspending them, to leave the option open of resuming them..

            As I’ve already said Germany has a more generous social welfare state than Greece, but Germany isn’t in trouble so thus it doesn’t make sense to make an argument about welfare states.

            The European banks have been propped up by the ECB, just like the Fed did with the majority of the banks in America. Why does it have to take a European bank going out of business for you to see that there is a banking crisis in the Eurozone.

          • JSobieski

            The one entity we know won’t due that is the federal government so why not DOUBLE fica? It seems like that is what your precious MMT would support if you take the politics out of it.

            If the poor are more likely to pay off xebts with incremental money, aren’t tax cuts for the rich the best option under MMT?

          • bbjaylive

            Suspending FICA means that people have extra money to spend after making mortgage payments and paying off monthly bills. Business sales will pick up. Raising taxes would just hurt the economy.

          • commonsenseobserver

            I do not agree that raising FICA taxes, or any taxes, should be our goal. Rather, we should propose broad tax relief funded by removing special loopholes and complex deductions, including, of course, refundable tax credits which are open to fraud and abuse.

            We need tax cuts funded by common-sense tax reform. FICA is just one tax.

            Not that I agree with whatever Bbjaylive has to peddle.

          • JSobieski

            nt

          • JSobieski

            aren’t tax cuts for the rich better than tax cuts for the poor? The poor are presumably more burdened with debt and are likely to pay off debt with newly found monies.

          • bbjaylive

            I said that the Germans didn’t want to send money into a black hole like Greece.

          • JSobieski

            they would use the money to deleverage, which was essentially useless from an economic growth perspective.

            I can find the link if you force me to, but this is something you said yesterday.

          • JSobieski

            http://www.redstate.com/cmndr45/2012/07/10/want-economic-prosperity-for-all-cut-the-top-tax-rates-not-the-bottom/#comment-281

            Of course, in your imaginary MMT work, governments never have to de-leverage since they can produce currencey with impunity.

            In the real world, we know that governments do not have such unfettered discretion.

          • bbjaylive

            the government isn’t financially constrained with an invented myth that I am advocating for the government to not constrain itself.

            Of course, me saying this won’t stop your incessant strawman arguments and taking everything I say to the extreme, so , meh, I don’t care. Have at it.

          • JSobieski

            was basically useless?

            Did you or did not say that you support a FICA holiday because it puts more money out in the economy?

            How do you reconcile the two statements?

            Simple questions.

          • bbjaylive

            I never said that said.

            I DID effectively say the second sentence.

          • JSobieski

            What you said was in response to my comment where I said:

            “Each individual with an extra dollar in their pocket is more careful with that money than the government is”

          • bbjaylive

            I said that it did nothing for aggregate demand. You’re conflating “useless” with “doing nothing for aggregate demand”. Just because something is useful for someone at the micro level, doesn’t been it’s good at the macro level.

            Also your comment also said that spending cuts never equal tax increases. I’ve already said I disagree with that.

          • APA Guy

            If just printing endless amounts of money is the solution for countries that feature fiat currency, why don’t all those countries just print all the money they want?

            Answer: Because matched in value against the other currencies of the world, the dollar (should we follow MMT) would be virtually WORTHLESS. It would increase the cost of goods and services priced in dollars and make the cost of doing business overseas much, much more expensive.

            In short, it would destroy the U.S economy…which is what these Krugman disciples have wished for from the beginning of their existence.

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            MMT
            Would argue that in a time where aggregate demand is down, the government should cease taxation (or drop it to the lowest level possible) and increase spending. You have to remember taxes only “cool inflation” but you have to address aggregate demand before you even consider inflation. As long as you can remember that taxes don’t fund the government or government entitlements, the conclusions of MMT are easy.

            My belief
            The problem being taxes and debt fund the government not fiat currency and the government should make capital available (for both supply and demand – econ people sometimes forget the producers need capital as well) put those together and the government should reduce it’s own spending, reduce taxes and reduce regulations in the market place that prevent the moving of capital (Barney Frank I am looking at you) or restrict supply.

          • JSobieski

            I am trying to get BB to reconcile some past statements.

            Please don’t presume I am incapable of looking up MMT on google or that I am otherwise unfamiliar with a canned response.

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            The only thing I presumed was I had floating up in my brain some pieces of information that you did not (this being much different than presuming you incapable of acquiring the knowledge were to take the time). I made this presumption because BB’s responses about FICA are entirely reasonable inside a belief system of MMT. The contradiction you see is indicative of one of the weaknesses of MMT (there are many and they have been pounded to death); it breaks down when you add people to the equation.

            Straight MMT theory would be to reduce taxes to increase capital so people can spend it to drive demand; the problem is people mess it up by deleveraging their debt they would otherwise continue to finance (i.e. they didn’t buy a cheeseburger and they didn’t free up money to buy a cheeseburger – they freed credit they won’t use or the bank won’t give them). This is a problem with lots of economic theory, people screw up the theory because of their hopes, dreams and fears.

            I didn’t think about a canned response (I am not even sure what that means) or your ability to google (I am pretty sure I didn’t think about it one way or the other because well it doesn’t matter to me).

          • JSobieski

            What would be your response to me if I responded to a conservative argument you had made against a liberal position by explaining how the liberal position was “correct” from a liberal perspective? Such a response totally misses the point if the purpose is to argue the merits

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            My point is bbjaylive isn’t going to find your argument compelling; no matter how you couch it; phrase it; scream it. In return, you don’t buy his argument and never will. The discourse had dissolved to one guy calling one a moron and the other demanding an answer. As to how I would respond…I’d really not care that you were telling me this other guy aint going to agree with you because he’s a lefty. I’d just say “You’re right. But this guy is just baking my biscuits”

          • JSobieski

            Otherwise, why have politicians debate each other when neither will be convinced to vote against his or her self?

            Debate is like exercise.

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            are going to go full Devil Anse and Ole Ran’l on us.

          • APA Guy

            Once they are enlightened about the consequences of believing socialist garbage, they wise up very quickly.

            By the way, you reveal yourself when you use the left’s “You don’t understand” mantra as a response to people who are whipping you in a debate and/or not disagreeing with you. You may want to file that one away in your mental Rolodex moving forward.

            Your argument about Europe (“No particular line of thought has led to Europe’s demise”? Oh that’s right…the cradle-to-grave entitlements have had NOTHING to do with their demise. Anyone with a functional brain knows that Europe has spent its way into oblivion…just as you are advocating) is as ridiculous as how you have tried to re-define MMT as you continue to twist your own argument. The strongest advocates of MMT admit that it is a currency killer…and that unchecked inflation would result.

            If you cannot understand how that would DESTROY our economy (much as it has these past 3 1/2 years), then I am left to conclude that destruction of the U.S economy that has been the standard-bearer for prosperity is your aim when posting here. Nothing you have posted here leads me to conclude to the contrary.

            By the way, your useless, nonsensical assertion that believing in a strong dollar makes one a “Paulbot” is not only factually incorrect, but it drags your useless points from nonsense into hyperbole. Conservatives across the nation know what a weak dollar means for the country and understand full well why a nation cannot just irresponsibly print endless amounts of money like children who want to eat as much candy as they can before getting caught. To grow government by printing money would be to expand entitlements to the point where no one wants to work for a living (like Europe), invest in anything, or restore America’s greatness.

          • bbjaylive

            The idea that the Eurozone is in trouble because of its social welfare systems is so intellectually bankrupt, that it’s a fringe argument, even worse than the hyperflationists. I’ve pointed out to you why the welfare system argument is complete bunk,and you are incapable of refuting it, because it is irrefutable.

          • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

            Here is your irrefutable argument. I will quote you. “As I?ve already said Germany has a more generous social welfare state than Greece, but Germany isn?t in trouble so thus it doesn?t make sense to make an argument about welfare states”

            That is just a silly argument, easily refuted. Greece has a much much smaller and weaker economy than Germany so naturally they spent themselves into disaster trying to give away everything to their citizens.

            Germany, like the United States can withstand this sort of profligacy a bit longer BUT NOT FOREVER!. That is the operate point.

            The Ideas behind MMT are not well received by most economists and rightfully so. Now I don’t doubt that vastly cutting taxes and increasing spending would indeed result in a some increased economic activity, But in just a short while the real world would demand a reason behind skyrocketing deficits and the cost of money would increase. Regime uncertainty would see smaller rates of growth than forecast. and before long the interest on the debt would begin to grow at an exponential.

            It would be a very very risky bet. But even if you are correct, It will not happen because politicians are adverse to risk.

            You really really need to stop being so thick skinned and you need to listen to others because guess what, there just might be a slight chance that you don’t know everything and you might learn something.

            You also have a very bad need to have the last word. That is a character weakness.

          • bbjaylive

            in their arguments, not dogmatic cranks. Your second paragraph is so silly, there’s a difference between being generally profligate with government spending and having a generous welfare state.

            “NOT FOREVER!!!” is the argument of the hyperflationists and the doom-sayers. It isn’t a serious argument. I would note that America has a lot more fiscal flexibility than Germany because it’s an autonomous currency issuer, while Germany is a currency user.

            “The Ideas behind MMT are not well received by most economists and rightfully so.”

            That is an absolutely laughable assertion which is utterly false and you know it. Well-known economists agree with parts of MMT whilst they think Austrian economics is as accurate as the phlogiston theory of fire. Milton Friedman called them “religious fanatics”.

            “Regime uncertainty”…Oh give me a break…not all businesses in America are PIMCO, I doubt your local Mom and Pop’s is assessing geopolitical risk to figure out how many cans of crushed tomatoes they need for next week.

          • acat

            you want an echo chamber.

            Surely, that’s not what you meant!

            Mew

          • aesthete

            By no means must you be an Austrian to reject the MMT theory: some of the people mentioned on this thread by yourself and others (Milt Friedman, Paul Krugman) are prominent non-Austrians and rejected the theory vehemently.

            Generally speaking, the original chartalists enjoyed a brief moment in the sun, along with some other ideas like wage and price controls, at a time when a much more statist version of classical Keynesianism was in the vogue. These were all discarded in the developed world shortly after the various economic crises from the late 60s to the early 80s steadily began to show the theory as hollow. Monetarism (a much better and more coherent explanation/synthesis) and Neo-Classical or Neo-Keynesian economics more or less replaced those ideas except among the true believers like Stiglitz and Galbraith (who neither predicted nor can explain with any credibility a variety of economic phenomena which would seem to contradict MMT).

          • bbjaylive

            as if it’s some artifact of economics, abandoned in the 20th century. The reason that MMT(neo-chartalism)/MMR and other heterodox economic schools (such as MCT which Steve Keen, the guy who got a prize for predicting the crash, follows) are gaining traction is because the Neo-Classical/Neo-Keynesian mainstream paradigm failed to predict the Great Crash. Krugman has said that he agrees with MMT on some points but of course, he mischaracterised them as saying that deficits never matter.

          • JSobieski

            $X for a pet rock has the same value for long term growth as $X for a CNC milling machine? How about the logic of cutting taxes to $0 and doubling government spending each year? For a person taking such a dogmatic position, you sure do accuse others of dogmatism.

          • bbjaylive

            MMT already acknowledges that if there were no taxes, then the paper would essentially be worthless and that people would then turn to other currencies with actual value. This seems to be the logical conclusion of Ron Paul’s plan for “competing currencies”.

          • JSobieski

            And dogmatic? Talk about a black hole calling a cloudy day dark!!!!

          • bbjaylive

            on government stimulus.

          • JSobieski

            If you add up the various W and Obama stimulus packages, its closer to $2T than $1T. At what point of debt would you no longer support stimulus spending?

            You claim to want reasoned interaction, but you name call far more frequently then answer questions.

            Instead of responding extreme to everything I say why not acknowledge that pushing to the extremes is how you test ideas? If you never subject a model to data outside of 1 sigma how can you have any confidence in the model?

            For example, I can admit that given the realities of government, marginal tax rates for the rich can’t go below a certain level. I am not pushing for 10% income tax rates. What is your limit in terms of debt?

            Why not answer instead of copying and pasting the same things over and over?e

          • gekster

            You are still the only one who agrees with you.

          • APA Guy

            …and it has the added virtue of being 100% true.

            This kid keeps arguing for virtually limitless printing of money to solve what ails our economy. I’ll give him this…he’s dedicated. Beyond that, not much to see really. It’s the same failed theory that it was before he arrived and will continue to be long after he is dispatched.

          • Bill S

            .

          • JSobieski

            How large does the debt have to be before you would find government spending to be an undesirable tool for stimulating aggregate demand?

          • bbjaylive

            is pointless. MMT says that either government spending must be cut or taxes must be increased when there is an inflationary problem.. MMR would probably be more cautious and not do as much stimulus as a typical MMTer would but I’m just speculating here. The central tenet of MMT is a Job Guarantee program, in order to produce full employment and price stability. MMR rejects this.

          • JSobieski

            You call me dogmatic, but I am not the person responding to each hypo with the same response

          • JSobieski

            In the real world, the purchasing power of a $ reaches 0 before you take your foot off the gas.

            But of course, I am extreme and dogmatic LOL

          • bbjaylive

            Now I’m not suggesting that America should reach Japan’s levels (and even if they did, I doubt it would be doom and gloom), but the economy is still weak and several millions of Americans are unemployed. Let the economists and policy makers work out the numbers.

          • Tbone

            nt

          • APA Guy

            When you bust out Wikipedia as the course of your retort, you KNOW you’re whipped.

            I’m off to watch the highlights of the Yankees’ comeback win against LA now. After that, I will do something inherently more useful than reading a minute more of your pathetic, generic drivel…like rearranging my sock drawer.

          • APA Guy

            They don’t answer questions that expose the fallacy of their assertions. They simply parrot the same talking points that push their destructive economic policies.

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            In fact it’d be close to Austrians for ones, he thinks is worst hooey. Even though the conclusions of MMT on public policy end up in line with him, there are times when he remembers he was once Dr. Paul Krugman, Professor of Economics, Nobel Prize Laureate. Here is Dr. Paul Krugman writing about MMT…

            Dr. Paul Krugman on MMT…

            “But I do get the premise that modern governments able to issue fiat money can?t go bankrupt, never mind whether investors are willing to buy their bonds. And it sounds right if you look at it from a certain angle. But it isn?t.

            Let?s have a more or less concrete example. Suppose that at some future date ? a date at which private demand for funds has revived, so that there are lending opportunities ? the US government has committed itself to spending equal to 27 percent of GDP, while the tax laws only lead to 17 percent of GDP in revenues. And consider what happens in that case under two scenarios. In the first, investors believe that the government will eventually raise revenue and/or cut spending, and are willing to lend enough to cover the deficit. In the second, for whatever reason, investors refuse to buy US bonds.

            The second case poses no problem, say the MMTers, or at least no worse problem than the first: the US government can simply issue money, crediting it to banks, to pay its bills.

            But what happens next?

            We?re assuming that there are lending opportunities out there, so the banks won?t leave their newly acquired reserves sitting idle; they?ll convert them into currency, which they lend to individuals. So the government indeed ends up financing itself by printing money, getting the private sector to accept pieces of green paper in return for goods and services. And I think the MMTers agree that this would lead to inflation; I?m not clear on whether they realize that a deficit financed by money issue is more inflationary than a deficit financed by bond issue.

            For it is. And in my hypothetical example, it would be quite likely that the money-financed deficit would lead to hyperinflation.

            The point is that there are limits to the amount of real resources that you can extract through seigniorage. When people expect inflation, they become reluctant to hold cash, which drive prices up and means that the government has to print more money to extract a given amount of real resources, which means higher inflation, etc.. Do the math, and it becomes clear that any attempt to extract too much from seigniorage ? more than a few percent of GDP, probably ? leads to an infinite upward spiral in inflation. In effect, the currency is destroyed. This would not happen, even with the same deficit, if the government can still sell bonds.”

          • APA Guy

            Could be coincidence…

            Either way, the central tenet of bbjaylive’s argument is that the government can and should print limitless amounts of money…and that it will not have a negative impact on the U.S economy. Krugman holds the same belief, though they do seem to part on taxes.

          • tnfriendofcoal101368

            The depart on how they see the functioning streams of the government; Krugman believes those streams are taxes and debt and that the debt is financed through bonds (pretty much how we all see it) i.e. Government spending is constrained to what it can raise through taxes and bond sales not infinite. That’s the key difference Krugman doesn’t believe government funding is infinite where Mosler does.

            He doesn’t see fiat currency as a funding stream for the government i.e. he sees the Fed as separate from the government and it’s mission as to provide capital to banks when they need it – at a rate that banks can then push out to stimulate demand.

            I’ll agree the difference is subtle (and that they are both wrong and that they lead to similar policy conclusions). I try to remember, Kruggie is running a con; he knows what he is selling is chicken crap. Just remember though, MMT is the big government economic theory that not even Kruggie can sell. Think about that last sentence and smile.

          • APA Guy

            Good form, my friend.

          • Jack_Savage

            He thought we were amateurs.

      • APA Guy

        If someone doesn’t agree with your path to destruction where the American economy is concerned, they are a “know-nothing”.

        Try actually arguing and answering questions and the points of others for a change.

  • stevends

    I don’t understand what you mean by this:

    “At this point an exercise in simple arithmetic suggests that any nation breaking even on its balance of trade would have to tax 100% of its private sector value production in order to balance this size of government with adequate revenues. That would be the 100-100-100 Plan that replicates what would happen if Herman Cain and Nancy Pelosi ever submitted a joint tax reform proposal. ”

    Maybe I’m a naive about economics, but I don’t understand. Can you or someone explain?

    • retrocon87

      maybe I’m a just a “simpleton who’s missing something” but I’d think government as 50% of GDP would imply 50% tax rates, no?…

    • bbjaylive

      How you can base what the tax rate is on the assumption that the US would have its current account at zero (which the US is nowhere near and that actually happening would almost as improbable as there being hyperinflation) is beyond me.

      It’s a poor example.

  • nerkbuckeye

    Keynesian Economis is a failed economic theory. It is at the very least a misallocation of resources due to politics determining where money is spent.

    Classical economics starts with a free market, Keynesian economics starts with politics.

    • bbjaylive

      Economics cannot be completely divorced from political reality, otherwise it is completely useless.

      • gekster

        No matter what it was called, you are still wrong on your socialist
        economic points.

        And I’ll give you kudos for determination, but you are still wrong.

      • nerkbuckeye

        What the heck does that mean? “Otherwise it is completely useless” That is about the most idiotic statement I’ve ever heard about economics.

        Economics is about the use of resources to produce the things in the physical world to survive and make life better–are you saying that economics is only good if it meets a political goal?

        • bbjaylive

          There’s a reason why mainstream economics consists of the Chicago School and the Neo-Keynesians and why no one takes the free-market fanatics aka. the Austrians, seriously.

          • APA Guy

            bbjaylive, in one sentence you have told everyone on this blog why you hate the United States of America and its economy. Free markets have been the backbone of an America that the rest of the world has envied and tried to emulate…that is, until a socialist has tried to destroy her.

            Get lost…we have no tolerance for anti-America Krugman disciples here at RedState. You are here to disrupt, and such activity is not welcome.

          • aesthete

            but discarding Austrian insights on the epistemological limitations which confront policymakers is a fatal flaw. In large part, the Chicago School/Neo-Classicals and Austrians differ on monetary and a few issues regarding externalities; most of economics (and certainly almost all of microecon) is based on the Classical school (which is very similar to what Austrians believe).

          • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

            The crossover points of all free market based economics are quite large and have converged to a large degree. I don’t ascribe to any one group. I pick and choose what seems right to me at the time.

            If there were any real insights to be gleaned from the Neo-Keynesians then I would be open, but I really don’t find any.

            It isn’t really a big mystery how markets work. Low marginal tax rates, free trade, a sound currency, and limited government interference in the markets. These always work, and when they are not done, then there is always a price to pay.

            We are paying such a price now, We had a very soft money regime for a decade along with government interference in pricing signals for real estate. After the crash we made everything worse by going on a spending and regulating spree.

            There were some tax cuts but they were temporary so didn’t do anything. The extra spending, and then the quantitative easing may have helped a few people, but at tremendous cost.

            Recovery could not occur as anticipated costs scared away investors, mostly in healthcare, but also in expectations of higher taxes due to the spending.

            The failure of any Keynesian approach is to disregard the very real effects of regime uncertainty, or to ascribe them to something else.

  • renl57

    …called for Government spending on a scale comparable to World War II. (Because he realizes that it was World War II–not the New Deal–which finally got us completely out of the Depression.)

    That would work out to about a $5.6 trillion stimulus package per year for several years. That’s roughly comparable to the amount Krugman alluded to in the CNBC interview.

    Another left-wing economist, Joseph Stiglitz, did not go quite so far. He’s called for a new $2 trillion stimulus package.

    Of course, in the 1940s, FDR had to counter the resulting inflation by imposing wage-and-price controls. And those resulted in shortages, which FDR countered with rationing of most consumer goods.

    Back in the 1970s, another famous “progressive” economist,
    John Kenneth Galbraith, admitted that a Keynesian approach to going from an economic depression to full employment was only feasible if accompanied by mandatory wage-and-price controls.

    Unlike Dr. Galbraith, Dr. Krugman has never acknowledged this.

  • deathray

    The Kroog already believes we are in a depression, not approaching one. (He’s right of course, unless you were buffaloed by the term “Great Recession”).

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