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Is North Korea Throwing In The Maoist Towel?

How Would You Modernize The Mess That Is N. Korea?

North Korea’s new leader Kim Jong-un is amazing! He is their dear and respected leader! It seems King Kim III just saved 60 flood victims from death. The N. Korean News Agency reminds us of MSNBC’s balanced coverage of President Barack Obama in the report filed below.

“Isolated incommunicado, they did not find a way out, in panic at rising water. At that time a helicopter appeared,” it said. “After receiving an urgent report, the dear respected Kim Jong-un issued an emergency sortie order to a unit of the Air Force of the Korean People’s Army.”

More importantly, when he isn’t saving flood victims or marrying comrade Ri Sol Ju; the lady who gave us that thrilling rendition of “Footsteps Of Soldiers” in the YouTube atop the post, Kim Jong-un may be trying to modernize North Korea. He has been far more visible than his father was and has at least hinted that he wants a more modern and at least somewhat more capitalistic future for North Korea. In a piece optimistically entitled Glasnost in North Korea?, John Delury reports on some of Kim’s recent hints at possible reform.

From the sudden dismissal of his top military leader, on grounds of “illness,” to a pop music show featuring American icons Mickey Mouse and Rocky Balboa, to a novel guest- worker program allowing North Koreans to earn hard currency in China, Kim Jong-un is taking a firm grip on power even as he loosens strictures and tells officials to try new things.

He recently toured a derelict Pyongyang Amusement Park* and chewed out several local officials during a highly publicized “guidance visit.” Delury describes the fireworks below:

Fixing the park, Kim said, “should be made an occasion of removing outdated ideological point of view from the heads of officials and ending their old work-style.” Kim then tapped the cabinet premier and a senior military figure to personally supervise the renovations. The park is now a demonstration project for Kim’s demand that officials be “creative and enterprising.”

Of course China still holds N. Korea on a leash. But, King Kim openly admitted one of his rocket tests failed and even claimed to be concerned that too many people in his isolated nation go hungry. He excoriates some bureaus of his government for selling his nation’s resources off to the Chinese in return for kickbacks. He went so far as mentioning the need to cut back on military spending to redirect assets to “The People’s Economy.”

These are baby steps, but they are legitimate. This willingness to actually tell the unpleasant truths about how things are in N. Korea may well explain his recent troubles with hardliner members of The North Korean Army. The recent firing of General Ri Yong-ho may have been over an issue similar to Julius Ceasar’s crossing of The Rubicon River.**

North Korea’s Army chief Ri Yong-ho may have been ousted for defying orders and moving troops near Pyongyang during a military exercise, South Korean intelligence sources told a major South Korean news agency. The troop move drew the ire of Ri’s main rivals Jang Song-taek, the uncle and guardian of leader Kim Jong-un, and Vice Marshal Choe Ryong-hae, Chosun.com reported.

Whether this is an actual attempt to climb down remains to be seen. North Korea still supplies the Yakuza with narcotics and makes some of the most undetectable counterfeit dollars and Euros in circulation. North Korea could certainly open its markets while still threatening the South Koreans and remaining “The Soprano State” in the near term.

Yet opening to the world could also incapacitate much of the threat posed by North Korea. They could depend upon others enough to not want to see the rest of the world burn. Their people could demand more of what the rest of the world has to offer. The Kim Monarchy, like The Russian Politburo under Gorbachev, could discover that opening only partially to the rest of the world cannot be done in a controlled manner. Then Kim Jung-un could go down in history as a praiseworthy man for authoring his own demise.

.
*- We now have an oxymoron to rival liberal tolerance, mandatory fun and Democratic Party.
** – Unlike Pompey and the Optimates, King Kim apparently doesn’t play that.

COMMENTS

  • Jack_Savage

    Gutsy call!

    • Repair_Man_Jack

      -nt

    • sbm1

      nt

  • Cheetah772

    Simply improving its agricultural output. North Korea is still a largely rural country, so if it can improve its agricultural sector and produce enough food to feed itself, then the workers will tend to be more productive instead of being hungry all the time.

    Indeed, baby steps should be taken. But I honestly believe that the new leader, Kim Jong-un, is just making comestic changes with little substance. It is meant to improve his image with the rest of world. I think he is afraid of what will happen if he loosens the power structure, he might end up like….what’s his name, that Romanian dictator who was executed with his wife shortly after the fall of communism in Romania? I’m sure you know whom I am referring to.

    I feel sorry for North Koreans. They’re missing out on so many things, and it’s highly doubtful that there will be real substantive changes to come anytime soon. May God have mercy on their souls.

    • Jack_Savage

      They titled it “The Land Of No Smiles”.

    • http://conservativemormonmom.blogspot.com ew88

      I’ve watched all the documentaries about N Korea I could find, and they all referred to the decline in support to rural areas from Pyongyang. Only the city still gets/got food rationed out to it. The countryside is on its own, and with the bad weather some years and all, they haven’t hardly had anything to plant in the ground to survive. Their government stopped sending them tools and fuel back in the 90s. Even the military gets short rations of rice with little protein. It is an unsustainable course. Children are growing up stunted and sickly if they survive at all.

      Kim opening up a guest worker program is novel indeed. Earlier China was complicit with N Korea in handing over any refugees to be executed, while all the extended family of the refugee would be sentenced to concentration camps. With more meager rations. It is a hopeless life. All because of the power of one man (at a time) brainwashing the country with one radio station installed directly into Pyongyang apartments which can’t be turned off, one TV station for those in favor enough to be granted a TV. Their leader is worshipped as a god, and any disrespect towards him means immediate reprisal on that person and any relatives.

  • Viet71

    He’s seen the benefits of capitalism and also how the Chicoms allow capitalism while keeping tight rein.

    Displaying his wife is positively Western relative to the secretiveness of his forbears.

    • Repair_Man_Jack

      Kim is good at that. I wonder who he is attempting to send the messages to?

    • aesthete

      if only because dynastic politics are rarely as straightforward as “the king changes the system by royal decree”, even in absolute monarchies like N Korea. There is also an element of deception, in that closed, broken regimes like N Korea often try to scam Western countries out of aid by holding out the vague promise of reform.

      That said, I am encouraged by the fact that he seems almost like a normal human being (crying at his fathers’ funeral, having a normal and non-excessive interest in women, displaying his wife, etc). Unfortunately I don’t think we’ll see much of a change in N Korea short of full-on regime collapse or a religious revival of some sort among the populace as a whole. N Korea is an interest of mine, and it’s simply amazing to see how incredibly broken the country is — Escape from Camp 14 and Nothing to Envy are books that I would highly recommend for a prole-eye view of the regime and the impossible circumstances that the average Nork is put in on a daily basis.

  • gekster

    He may have seen western tv while growing up, and doesn’t see the world in a ww2, cold war slant.
    That could explain the shift.

    But still remember, even though a light handed dictaor is better than a heavy handed dictator, they are still a dictator.

    • sbm1

      at school in Switzerland.

      There is no aspect of the western world and how it works and what it’s advantages are that wasn’t visible to him.

      I have a bit of a feeling that he played the game well with his father to get the nod, and will pull a deng xiao peng.

      Capitalism works as a cure VERY VERY quickly. If he opens the markets the need for the relatively low cost, and apparently well trained workforce will flood in from China in the North and SK in the south. If he does like Myanmar and opens enough to get rid of sanctions I can see immediate growth rates of 20+% in GDP for 10 years before slowing down to 7-9%

      As someone who has been in China over 100 times, I can tell you that steady economic growth combined with access to relative day to day freedom seems to keep most people in that area quite content with the political system. Many chinese today can emigrate with few to no consequences, and most don’t even contemplate it. It’s not like South Korea has always been the paragon of the free press.

  • http://lukos.com Ed54

    We really have no idea what the power dynamic is between Kim as a titular leader and the institutions that keep him in power. He could be a genuine dictator with a firm grip on power, or he could be a hereditary figurehead for a coterie of generals who rule from behind the scenes.

    That makes it doubly tough to interpret what’s going on here. Is he like Raul Castro, trying to get a little taste of the free market while continuing to hold absolute power? Is he like Gorbachev, a relatively moral man who genuinely understands the rot inherent in a communist totalitarian system? Or is he simply more PR saavy than Kim Jong Il, his comically image-challenged father? If he really is a reformer, can walk the tightrope without triggering a backlash from the state security apparatus or unleashing chaos as the dike breaks?

    • aesthete

      that tyrannies put straitjackets on leadership as much as on the proles. A ruler cannot simply abdicate in most cases, and he certainly can’t appear weak in a system where his rivals will seize upon weakness in extremely sadistic (if effective) ways. My research of Haiti, for example, leads me to believe that “Baby Doc” Duvalier probably wanted out of his country’s leadership for some time, and had no real desire for or direction in the butchery that militias engaged in under his banner. Tsar Alexander II, perhaps Russia’s most truly enlightened and liberal ruler, was either assassinated by a left-wing terrorist group or faked his own assassination to escape the pressures of the nobility. There are many political signals that Kim could be sending; it is likely that we won’t learn the truth of dynastic politics in N Korea until well after liberty is the norm — and even then I expect to see serious gaps in our knowledge.

  • throwback59

    to Western style Capitalism (even if they are baby steps) and the US Emperor is moving his country to Eastern style Socialism?

    C’mon, you were all thinking it.

  • leftylurker

    http://www.amazon.com/The-Cleanest-Race-Themselves-Publishing/dp/1935554344

    It’s absolutely fascinating and flies way in the face of most of the North Korean reporting I’ve read.

    • civil truth

      The country seems closer to Nazi Germany in ideology and political history than to pure Communism, but the leadership seems to have combined the worst features of both.

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