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Open Secrets, Closed Eyes

AFSCME says they spent $91m, Open Secrets says $12m

I have tended to be a big fan of Open Secrets, a website by a lefty group that shows how money is spent in politics. The nice thing is that they provide data. And the nice thing about data is that it gives you good apples-to-apples comparisons. Based on data, you can argue things like “the largest donors and lobbyists in Wisconsin are the teachers unions” and have something to back that up with.

So I was really disappointed to read this recent piece by Michael Beckel at Open Secrets entitled “Union Muscle Eclipsed by High-Profile Conservative Groups During 2010 Election”. They reviewed the publicly disclosed spending information and concluded that the unions spent less money than American Crossroads, the Chamber, et al. in the 2010 cycle. In particular, they found that the unions spent $46.7m while business groups spent $97m or so.

There’s a catch though. AFSCME, the largest of the public employee unions, told the New York Times that they spent $91m. That number was actually up $3.5m from four days before then when a union representative told the Wall Street Journal, “we’re the big dog, but we don’t like to brag.” Open Secrets claimed that AFSCME only spent $12.6m, less than 1/7th of the total amount that the union says that they spent.

Now I am not saying that the apples-to-apples study of disclosed data to disclosed data isn’t valuablein some cases. But when your study understates the expenditures of one organization by a factor of 7 you have to think that you are barking up the wrong tree in how you are collecting your data. It isn’t so much that your methodology is bad. It is that it is irrelevant and misleading.

Of course, the guy who did the analysis used to work for the extremely liberal Mother Jones. Maybe he just knew what answer he wanted and picked the parameters to hit it.

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COMMENTS

  • johnnyd

    If you rely on a lefty source for data, did you really believe it was to be trusted?

    That is the biggest problem for Americans today, finding a TRUSTED source of information. Every source has an agenda. Just like scientist, they have a vested interest in the results. How do you verify anything anymore?

    If you could come up with a way to have a 100% trusted source of information, you would be rich beyond measure.

    It is sad that we Americans are no better than the rest of the world when it comes to corruption.

    • Stan(ley) Pruss

      If you want to avoid observer bias, you have to avoid observer knowledge of the meaning of the observed data until the analysis parameters are fixed, then open the box and see what the result is. This technique is well known and observed in real science.

    • conservista

      I’m also a big fan of Open Secrets, and the group behind it: the Center for Responsive Politics. Over the years they have gathered and posted tons of data in an evenhanded and user-friendly fashion, providing a real service to serious but time-strapped voters. For example, Open Secrets presented clear and timely information prior to the 2008 election showing Obama received far more Wall Street money than did McCain.

      Full disclosure: my sister, Sheila Krumholz, is the Executive Director of CRP. She’s a person of scrupulous integrity. We may not always agree politically, but she is no ideologue: she would never fudge data or manipulate data analysis parameters in order to promote an agenda, and she wouldn’t condone it being done by others at CRP. If the analysis in question was flawed in its design, due to some desire on the part of the author to hide the true amount of union spending in the 2010 election, Sheila will address it.

      Mary Clifford, RN

      • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

        Because the sister of the Executive Director said so, it must be true! Just because the site is founded on a left-wing premise, that campaign donations are inherently corrupt (note that they call Buddy Roemer’s promise not to take donations over $200 “noble,” hardly a neutral phrase), and on their blog recently they’ve implied that Rand Paul and Mitch McConnell are taking bribes to oppose the EPA.

        Open Secrets is not a trustworthy organization. I consider it allied with my opponent and everything it says is not trustworthy until confirmed by a reliable source.

        • conservista

          Having known my sister her whole life, I think I’m in a position to vouch for her character. You may question my bona fides, of course. In that regard, I will just say that in my opinion public employee unions such as AFSCME shouldn’t even exist, due to the inherent conflict of interest they represent.

          I didn’t claim my sister or other CRP staff are free of personal biases, only that they don’t falsify data in order to push a leftist agenda. They work hard to provide a real service, and I think it’s reasonable to give them at least the credit Reagan gave the Soviets: Trust, but verify.

  • johnnyd

    If you rely on a lefty source for data, did you really believe it was to be trusted?

    That is the biggest problem for Americans today, finding a TRUSTED source of information. Every source has an agenda. Just like scientist, they have a vested interest in the results. How do you verify anything anymore?

    If you could come up with a way to have a 100% trusted source of information, you would be rich beyond measure.

    It is sad that we Americans are no better than the rest of the world when it comes to corruption.

    • sootsme

      >>That is the biggest problem for Americans today, finding a TRUSTED source of information.<<

      How’s this? When I got my first driver’s license in 1966, gas was as low as 17.9 cents per gallon. I was making just over $4/hour minimun wage bagging groceries (Union, BTW). Wages = 22+ times gas price. Now: gas $4.00. Min wage ~$7.15 (Utah) Wages = ~ 1.78 times gas price. Your own mileage may vary, but just do the math. This is where the rubber meets the road. What more does one need to know in order to figure out that something is seriously rotten here? I realize most of us are products of public “education”, but come on folks,this is not rocket science. Wake up & smell the stench already. I’m glad there’s no profanity here, our present state of affairs is quite profane enough, thanks.

      • randy_burgess

        Minimum wage in 1966 was 1.25/hour so the math doesn’t add up.

      • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

        Go oppose Republicans elsewhere.

  • http://soquelbythecreek.blogspot.com/ soquelbythecreek

    What isn’t mentioned is that the Democrats ALSO BENEFIT from corporation money. Business money tends to be less ideological.

    Take a look at the following OpenSecrets.org data for the 2010 election.
    http://www.opensecrets.org/overview/blio.php

    Note that nearly ALL the Labor money goes exclusively to Democrats.

    Ditto for OpenSecrets’ Heavy Hitters list. Note the political leaning.
    http://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/list.php?order=A

    I noted a similar pattern in California politics.

    “What Influences California Politics More, Business or Union Spending”
    http://soquelbythecreek.blogspot.com/2010/06/what-influences-california-politics.html

    Who was the top spender on 527 political committees in the 2004, 2006, 2008, and 2010 election cycles?
    http://soquelbythecreek.blogspot.com/2010/10/big-spenders-behind-scenes.html

    Who were the top two spenders in California politics, according to the California Fair Political Practices Commission?
    http://soquelbythecreek.blogspot.com/2011/02/do-public-employee-unions-have-major.html

    • Soren Dayton

      Very good point

  • tergent

    They should not even be permitted to donate to campaigns. The real issue that is not getting enough coverage is that there is a big difference between public and private unions. It reminds me of a post on www.freemarketsfreepeople.net, “Government Unions Are Different”.

  • evergreen78

    So I looked it up: Yes, they spent the money. No, it wasn’t “campaign contributions,” but TV advertisements, etc. This is from the WSJ, 10/22/2010:

    “The 1.6 million-member AFSCME is spending a total of $87.5 million on the elections after tapping into a $16 million emergency account to help fortify the Democrats’ hold on Congress. Last week, AFSCME dug deeper, taking out a $2 million loan to fund its push. The group is spending money on television advertisements, phone calls, campaign mailings and other political efforts, helped by a Supreme Court decision that loosened restrictions on campaign spending.”

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303339504575566481761790288.html?KEYWORDS=afscme+donations