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FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

The Strategic Wisdom of Barack Obama

yet another gutsy call

The killing of Osama bin Laden has been characterized by two distinct phases. In Phase I the White House simply could not tell us what happened during the raid and eventually just decided to stop talking about it. Phase II has been a demeaning and unseemly grubbling for credit on the part of the administration under the guise of Obama having made a “gutsy call.” Not only has the administration actively promoted this notion in press conferences but they are actively planting these stories in the tame and housebroken media that has become a hallmark of this administration.

The latest in the series of “Obama is as hard as woodpecker lips” stories comes from the New York Times.

WASHINGTON - President Obama insisted that the assault force hunting down Osama bin Laden last week be large enough to fight its way out of Pakistan if confronted by hostile local police officers and troops, senior administration and military officials said Monday.

Mr. Obama’s decision to increase the size of the force sent into Pakistan shows that he was willing to risk a military confrontation with a close ally in order to capture or kill the leader of Al Qaeda.

Such a fight would have set off an even larger breach with the Pakistanis than has taken place since officials in Islamabad learned that helicopters filled with members of a Navy Seals team had flown undetected into one of their cities, and burst into a compound where Bin Laden was hiding.

One senior Obama administration official, pressed on the rules of engagement for one of the riskiest clandestine operations attempted by the C.I.A. and the military’s Joint Special Operations Command in many years, said: “Their instructions were to avoid any confrontation if at all possible. But if they had to return fire to get out, they were authorized to do it.”

“Fight its way out of Pakistan.” You can nearly smell the cordite as the phrase trips off the tongue. You can just see Josh Barnett running through a cloud to smoke.

I’d be among the first to acknowledge that the SEALs are tough but, let’s be honest, they aren’t tough enough to fight their way out of Pakistan. As I detailed earlier, bin Laden’s Abbottabad compound was over a hundred miles from the Afghan border. The city itself garrisons four infantry battalions and is located in a highly militarized area as it borders on Kashmir. So some latter day reenactment of Xenophon’s Anabasis is pretty much out of the question. Extracting yourself by helicopter while under enemy fire is not something to be attempted lightly.

Nothing that we know about the raid indicates that, in fact, there was any contemplation of going at the Pakistani police or army hammer and tongs. The raiding force consisted of four helicopters. They were hardly jam-packed with shooters as they lost one helicopter on the insertion and had enough spare seats for the passengers and crew from that helicopter to extract. As a contingency they probably had seats available for several prisoners to be extracted. In short, there is no way enough troops could have been inserted on four helicopters to allow the force to “fight its way out of Pakistan.” Such an operation would have required significant tactical air support and would have resulted in sufficient casualties and property damage that Pakistan simply could not have ignored it with really bad effects for our army in Afghanistan that depends upon Pakistani roads to bring in their supplies.

What is actually scary, though, are the prospects that someone actually thought that a handful of US troops, no matter how skilled, could lock horns with a large number of trained troops and prevail. Pakistan’s Army, though hardly world class, is not to be dismissed lightly. As we used to say in regards to the Red Army, “quantity has a quality all its own.” Or in the words of Kipling

Two thousand pounds of education
Drops to a ten-rupee jezail -

While there is absolutely nothing in the story that backs up the rather extraordinary claim made in the lede the three reporters involved, Eric Schmitt, Thom Shanker and David E. Sanger, aren’t rookies and the odds of them having come up with this formulation without some prompting are pretty slim. The way this claim is used to bolster the idea that at some level Obama was spoiling to kick a little Pakistani butt is also troubling.

There is no doubt that Obama is looking at a the killing of bin Laden as a boon to his reelection chances and, recognizing his own basic gutlessness is a millstone in this endeavor, is using “gutsy call” as shorthand for what he hopes we remember of his grossly deficient leadership. It is a sad state of affairs when you find yourself hoping that your president is simply bloviating and did not seriously contemplate sending young men into a situation that would actually have required them to do something as profoundly stupid as “fight their way out of Pakistan.”

COMMENTS

  • taylerdog23

    This would give them at least an idea of what was going on with the police and military to avoid having to fight their way out.

    From NYT:

    “In describing the mission, the officials said that American surveillance and reconnaissance aircraft were watching and listening to how Pakistan?s police forces and military responded to the raid. That determined how long the commandos could safely remain on the ground going through the compound collecting computer hard drives, thumb drives and documents.”

    In addition, you didn’t mention this from the article either:

    “If a confrontation appeared imminent, there were contingency plans for senior American officials, including Admiral Mullen, to call their Pakistani counterparts to avert an armed clash.”

    Just noting this because your post gives the impression that fighting their way out was the only contingency plan in place. Regardless of how you feel about the President, this seems to pi** on the intellect and planning capability of the military leadership and the SEALs.

    • http://www.gmsplace.com/ civil truth

      That’s the real problem behind the Administration’s continued talking and both putting down Pakistan and exposing our military planning. They should have stopped talk a long time ago if they really wanted to be Presidential instead of playing reelection politics with it. Not to mention showing a modicum of class. But no, everything has to center around Obama.

    • aesthete

      and that’s streiff’s point. It’s an attempt on Obama’s part to play the role of big, bad protector of ‘Murrika for all those hicks in the sticks that we need to vote for us. Personally, I never thought that Obama lacked in toughness of a sort (he *was* a Chicago Dem, after all), or as an anti-war Dem. However, this is just bad PR, and the hackish, desperate way in which the killing of OBL has been handled deserves streiff’s commentary.

    • streiff

      because that wasn’t what I was writing about.

      Before you correct my story do me the courtesy of reading it.

    • mspector

      tayler, I think the real point is that there was no such contingency plan. The raid was set up as a raid; enough troops to pull it off and get out clean. It was not an attempt to get into combat with the Pakistani military, nor can anybody seriously think Obama ever intended such a thing.

      I am certain that the strategic planning included Panetta and the military command, and that Obama really had little or nothing to do with it. How could he? He has no military experience, no understanding of combat. And that’s OK. After all, he is Commander in Chief and we expect he will surround himself with capable subordinates. The question is: why can’t he just say as much? “We (oops, ‘I’) had a great command and coordination team in place and they came up with a completely effective plan carried out with complete profession by ST6.”

      Oh, right. That would mean giving credit where credit is due instead of taking credit where very little is deserved. I must be thinking of someone else.

      • Rusty_S

        “We parachute in. We parachute out.”

        • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8
  • aesthete

    I can’t quite say that my appreciation for your pieces allows me to call them enjoyable, given that the subject matter is my President continuing to make an ax out of himself and others on the foreign policy and political front. Nevertheless, your reportage on the issue is appreciated.

    With that kind of tactical advice, I have a renewed respect for Admiral Mullen and co.’s ability to keep a straight face. I have no experience or knowledge of what it takes to plan for such missions, but even then I know that the logistics, personnel, etc that would have been required to make the Rambo-esque scenario suggested possible would have been much more than what was used. (Assuming that there was not cooperation on Pakistan’s part, heh.) Heck, even your average Call of Duty player could have figured that out. I have the feeling that much of what the President is taking credit for, and his general involvement in the operation, was likely minimal and his suggestions summarily ignored in any meaningful sense.

  • http://www.theprecinctproject.wordpress.com ColdWarrior

    versions of what really happened — Obama wants multiple versions of the story because each version speaks to a different constituency. R.D. Walker over at The Real Revo explains in Jessica Lynch killed Osama bin Laden.

    Thank you.

    ColdWarrior

    • lineholder

      interpretation that could be made of why the WH keeps changing its story. And I wouldn’t put it past them to do this either.

    • Common_Cents

      Reminds me of Jon Lovitz on SNL.

    • gunslingr45

      almost spewed when I read the headline same as when the messiah admitted to the kill. I was starting to wonder why he even let the Seals go with him. Why did he need the extra baggage? I know superman could handle the weight, but why risk the lives of some poor Seals?
      The funny thing will be to see if he can keep all the different stories straight. This could be more fun than the actual mission!

      Navy Seal walks into a bar and says, “Bartender, give me a Bin Laden.”

      The bartender asks, “What’s that?”

      Navy Seal answers “Two shots and a splash of water.”

  • paramedichess

    I read the article, and it made it seem as if Obama was the only one in the room who had come up with the idea that inserting American Special Forces into the middle of a city in another country might prompt some sort of police/military response. Are we to believe that Obama, the elitist lawyer with zero military experience (10 to 1 he has never even held a firearm) was the brightest strategic planner in a room presumably full of experienced generals and tacticians? That they can even write this with a straight face shows just how in bed with the administration the media is.

  • jccbin

    on the front page, please. It disappears, but still won’t let me click on the story under it. It just sends me to your Human Events-negligent-at-website-design-promo page.

    Oh, and you hide any and all contacts info here way down at the bottom of the uber-long page, so this is what you get.

    Thank you.

  • jdp

    Didn’t we have CIA operatives watching his compound for some time? I suppose the media can paint that as “hiding” in the same way I let my 2 year old believe she is “hiding” when I can darn well see her, but come on, that’s just awful reporting.

  • SoFiMil

    Just days ago, the troops at Ft. Campbell the troops greeted their Commander in Chief with a less than enthusiastic welcome.

    Introductions
    5:55 General Cole gets a well-deserved rousing applause
    6:35 President Obama introduced and all the air and enthusiasm leave the room
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9T9Kc7B3JU

    December 2010 – Troops don?t seem to give a hoot that their Commander in Chief is visiting them, – even with General Petraeus trying his darndest to urge them on.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPK-5PfntUs

    • SoFiMil
      • GregInFla

        and was pleased, in a way. They know that Obama is still investigating the CIA guys who made it possible.

        • SoFiMil
  • http://www.patriotactionnetwork.com/profile/semperfi sirjason

    REPEATED REFERENCES TO OBAMA?S PURPORTED ORIGINS IN OFFICIAL DOCUMENTS AS WELL AS KNOWLEDGE OF ?ILLEGAL? ACTIVITY
    submitted by Terry R. Wiley

    http://www.thepostemail.com/2010/04/14/kenyan-parliament-proclaimed-obamas-birth-there-in-november-2008/

    • powertothepeople

      to say Obama is not an American, but an illegal Kenyan posing as one of us. END SNARK

      Go punch yourself in the face moron. that way we can at least say you did something worthwhile.

    • Bill S

      I strongly suggest that you go and read this diary. And please do NOT post another “Obama isn’t an American citizen” birtheresque comment again or I/we won’t be so patient the next time.

  • freedom23

    Talk about a victory lap: go to www.gutsycall.com and what do you get? A direct link to www.barackobama.com. (I haven’t checked what you get if you click on world’s greatest guy.com)

    Also, while I don’t have the link, I read a report a couple of days ago, purported to be from sources inside the WH, stating that Obama not only did not make the call, but Pinetta had to do an end run around him to get the raid done, over the continuing objections of Valerie Jarrett. Maybe more on this will turn up in the coming days…?

  • sanderson13

    Why would the SEALs have to fight their way out if we had an agreement with Pakistan to do exactly what we did?

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