Democrats Understand the Politics of Amnesty, Republicans Don’t

By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary)  |  May 29th at 10:00 AM  | 

There’s nothing more amusing in politics than watching Democrats feign concern for the political future of the Republican Party, as they attempt to cajole Republicans into self-immolation.  The issue of amnesty is the latest and greatest example of this spectacle. Behind all that bravado and push-polling perpetrated by liberal special interest groups, Democrats are apprehensive about their immigration deform/voter registration drive.  They know that all | Read More »

Sometimes, It Really Is Different This Time – A Polling Post-Mortem (Part II of III)

By: Dan McLaughlin (Diary)  |  November 15th at 10:45 AM  | 

The second part of my 3-part post-mortem on the polls and the 2012 election. See yesterday’s Part I here. IV. Likely vs. Registered Voters A. Pay No Attention To The Man Behind The Screen Near the heart of every major polling controversy this year was the issue of sampling and likely-voter screens. Polls traditionally report results among either “all adults” (whether or not registered to | Read More »

PPP’s polls were rigged all along

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  November 8th at 09:00 PM  | 

New York Magazine was trying to be sympathetic to the popular polling figures on its own side of the political, but let out a secret in the process: Public Policy Polling cooked the books all along.

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The Current Electoral College State of Play

By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary)  |  October 22nd at 04:05 PM  | 

Two weeks before Election Day, all signs point to this being a very tight election.  Romney clearly seized the momentum with his debate win two weeks ago – one which Obama failed to stop with his stronger performance last week.  Most national polls show Romney with a 2-3 point lead; however, the state polls show an even tighter race. One thing has not changed in | Read More »

The “Mitt Romney and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad – and oh, right, tied in Gallup – Month” Weekend Open Thread.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  September 22nd at 10:29 PM  | 

As has been noted here and here… what an awful month Mitt Romney is having.  Exhibit A: the Gallup tracking poll for September. Absolutely horrendous.  Why, at this rate, Obama for America might even throw Mitt Romney into a… …A… …A briar patch. Open thread. Moe lane PS: The polls go up.  The polls go down.

Voters Want Less Government. Will GOP Communicate to Them?

By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary)  |  August 27th at 03:02 PM  | 

Amidst the torrent of polling data on an array of political races and policy issues, it is easy to lose focus on the central point of contention in today’s world of politics.  The fundamental disagreement between the right and the left is over the proper role of government.  The left feels that government should control virtually every aspect of our economy and our lives – | Read More »

The First Likely Voter Poll from Fox News Portends Mostly Good News

By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary)  |  August 23rd at 09:10 PM  | 

Earlier this afternoon Fox News posted their first likely voter poll of the campaign, which shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama 45%-44%.  Many of us were wondering how the polling would look once the pollsters switch to a likely voter screen – a model which is almost always more favorable to Republicans than a poll of registered voters.  This poll of 1,007 likely voters is | Read More »

On that potentially troublesome Cook County poll.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  August 20th at 08:30 PM  | 

The Daily Caller reported on a poll today that gave a rather remarkable result: it showed Barack Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 49 to 37… in Cook County, Illinois: which of course includes the City of Chicago. Being under 50% in what can be considered the ultimate Democratic stronghold is not good news for the President. In 2008 Cook County went for Obama over McCain | Read More »

Harry Reid launches the Democratic war on Math

By: Neil Stevens (Diary)  |  March 14th at 03:00 PM  | 

Harry Reid, the floor leader of the Democrats in the United States Senate, the most influential Democrat in the entire Congress, is innumerate. You see, he not only lacks an understanding of mathematics, apparently having no understanding of what kinds of sample sizes are needed to get an accurate sense of American public opinion, but he is also actively promoting his anti-math viewpoint against statistical, | Read More »

Hill poll: American electorate apparently *not* addicted to soaking rich.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  February 27th at 08:00 PM  | 

The most immediate thing to take away from this Hill poll is what the article on the subject leads with: which is, that something like three-fourths of the American electorate thinks that that the tax rate for the wealthy should be lower than it actually is (about the same proportion has a similar attitude towards similar tax rates for corporations). So far, so good – | Read More »

Administration on wrong side of CNN freedom of conscience poll.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  February 17th at 06:30 PM  | 

Here is something that needs to be pointed out (as Hot Air did): this poll on the public reaction to the Obama’s administration’s attack on freedom of conscience is skewed toward the liberal position in at least two ways.  First, it polls adults, which traditionally skews things a couple points towards the Democrats; second, it took place after the administration/mainstream media blitz touting Obama’s compromise.  | Read More »

QotD, Presidential Candidates Take Note edition.

By: Moe Lane (Diary)  |  November 19th at 11:00 AM  | 

The Polling Company did a survey of Iowa Republican voters for Independent Women’s Voice* to determine what those voters are looking for. Click the link for the actual numbers (although I will note that possibly the most eyebrow-raising one is that “[n]o GOP hopeful has locked up more than 9% of Iowa caucus-goers”), but here’s the executive summary: At this point it’s impossible to predict | Read More »

Obama’s Terrible, Horrible Poll Numbers

By: Ben Domenech (Diary)  |  September 6th at 10:00 AM  | 

Download Podcast | iTunes | Podcast Feed On today’s edition of Coffee and Markets, Elizabeth Blackney and Benjamin Domenech walk through the latest poll numbers for Barack Obama. Hint: They’re really, really bad. We’re brought to you as always by BigGovernment and Stephen Clouse and Associates. If you’d like to email us, you can do so at coffee[at]newledger.com. We hope you enjoy the show. Related | Read More »

The Poor Aren’t Buying Obama’s Class Warfare

By: Daniel Horowitz (Diary)  |  April 14th at 11:00 AM  | 

Obama is forcing our troops to fight a politically correct war in Afghanistan; however, he is prosecuting his class warfare with no holds barred.  Obama and the Democrats are the Navy SEALS of class warfare.  Fortunately, his target audience, the poor, are not impressed with his ferocity.  Obama’s support among the poorest Americans has dropped to an all time low, according to the latest Gallup | Read More »

Washington Post: 95% Believe Spending Cuts Are The Best Way To Cut The Deficit

By: Dan McLaughlin (Diary)  |  March 15th at 01:06 PM  | 

Greg Sargent, the Washington Post’s in-house left-wing activist, has a hilarious post up analyzing the latest WaPo poll. (The post was originally entitled, “The pubic agrees with Dems, but they don’t know it,” although eventually someone caught on and fixed the typo.) Everybody has typos; what’s more enduringly amusing is Sargent’s effort at spin: