Mid-September Polls Are Not The Last Word On Senate Races
The perennial question about election polls is back again, if ever it left: how far can we trust them? Should we disregard all other evidence but what the current polling of individual Senate races tells us – which is, at this writing, that if the election was held today, Republicans would gain 6 seats in the Senate to hold a narrow 51-48 majority? As usual, | Read More »
The Democratic Party’s War on Women rhetoric doesn’t seem to be working.
Hey, at least now we know why the Democrats freaked out when Republicans started talking about making birth control pills available over the counter!
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The piecemeal presidency
How bad are President Obama’s poll numbers? So bad that the poll-crazed media has essentially stopped talking about them, as the Media Research Center noticed on Monday. Last week’s cataclysmic Gallup poll was given zero coverage on the Big Three networks. They scarcely bother to report their own partnership polls. That’s quite a contrast with the way polls were used to drive news coverage of the Bush | Read More »
RedState Weekly Briefing: September 7 Obama’s Immigration Politics, A Likely Voter Poll, and an ISIS Strategy? #RSWB
Join us this week on the RedState Weekly Briefing as we discuss the Obama’s Immigration politics, the NBC/Marist likely voter poll, and the Administrations possible ISIS strategy. As always we have Joe Cunningham and Thomas LaDuke joining us. We should be live at about 7:05 Eastern. Enjoy!
Looking in Depth at the Kaiser Obamacare Poll
For those of you not aware, the Kaiser Family Foundation released a poll recently on how people who bought insurance under Obamacare are faring. Unsurprisingly, much of the media has portrayed it as showing a generally positive response to the healthcare law. In particular, they emphasized that about 6 in 10 of the enrollees were previously uninsured. This is all, per the poll, true, but | Read More »
KTSP/SurveyUSA poll in Minnesota shows Mark Dayton, Al Franken having problems.
The same electoral conditions that are giving Democrats severe electoral headwinds right now are also present in Minnesota.
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The Irony of the GOP Polling Advantage
As the November midterms draw near, we are beginning to see a growing wave against Democrats, much like we witnessed at this time in 2010. A new Pew poll gives Republicans a 4-point edge on the generic ballot test, which is significant given the fact that Democrats usually have a slight advantage even in a 50-50 year. They also found that Republicans have a crushing | Read More »
A rising stock market does not lift Obama’s poll numbers
Every now and then, the media will scratch its head and wonder why President Obama’s poll numbers are so awful, when there’s good economic news he should be benefiting from. This almost invariably refers to the stock market, the lone bright spot of the long non-recovery we’ve been slogging through for the past five years. The latest befuddlement over Obama’s inability to benefit from market | Read More »
Just How Out of Touch is the Ruling Class?
As House Republicans prepare for their aptly-named “GOP Retreat” at the end of the month, they are planning to make immigration the centerpiece of their legislative strategy. Both Politico and Roll Call offer a glimpse into their grand scheme. They will offer a lot of window dressing about enforcement and all the things the GOP base wants to hear. But ask yourself this question: why | Read More »
Intelligent Krauthammer’s debt limit-showdown strategy also a Cruz-like cul-de-sac
Any Republican strategy to force Obama and the Democrats to compromise on Obamacare, taxes, spending or even the Keystone XL pipeline in a continuing budget resolution or bill to raise the debt ceiling inevitably leads to a Cruz-like government shutdown cul-de-sac. Charles Krauthammer has known this since he worked for Vice President Walter Mondale in the late 1970s and when he watched President Reagan escape | Read More »
Tags: Barack Obama
, continuing budget resolution
, Continuing Resolution
, debt ceiling
, debt limit bill
, delay Obamacare
, federal budget
, Government Shutdown
, Harry Reid
, Individual Mandate
, ObamaCare exemptions
, Ted Cruz
, U.S. Senate
Congress and Staff Should Beware Their Obamacare Bribe
Of all the problems with Obamacare, the one that should strike the most fear into the hearts of members of Congress is public reaction to their acceptance of a bribe to keep the law funded. Congress should reject the exemption the President offers them, which allows the federal government to pay for their exchange-based health insurance. Many Americans are in the same situation as members | Read More »
Conservatives Must Use Immigration Deform Like Obamacare in 2014
For quite some time, I’ve deemed the Senate a lost cause. In recent years, Democrats have shown a remarkable sense of discipline, getting every member – even those from red states – to vote for the most radical pieces of legislation. Moreover, roughly half the GOP conference is worthless and couldn’t care less about their constituents, and there is certainly no leadership from Mitch McConnell. | Read More »
Democrats Understand the Politics of Amnesty, Republicans Don’t
There’s nothing more amusing in politics than watching Democrats feign concern for the political future of the Republican Party, as they attempt to cajole Republicans into self-immolation. The issue of amnesty is the latest and greatest example of this spectacle. Behind all that bravado and push-polling perpetrated by liberal special interest groups, Democrats are apprehensive about their immigration deform/voter registration drive. They know that all | Read More »
Sometimes, It Really Is Different This Time – A Polling Post-Mortem (Part II of III)
The second part of my 3-part post-mortem on the polls and the 2012 election. See yesterday’s Part I here. IV. Likely vs. Registered Voters A. Pay No Attention To The Man Behind The Screen Near the heart of every major polling controversy this year was the issue of sampling and likely-voter screens. Polls traditionally report results among either “all adults” (whether or not registered to | Read More »
PPP’s polls were rigged all along
New York Magazine was trying to be sympathetic to the popular polling figures on its own side of the political, but let out a secret in the process: Public Policy Polling cooked the books all along.
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