Man-Made Calamity to Hit LA, Gulf Coast


It’s worse than a hurricane or an oil spill. This one’s intentional and man-made, done with the stroke of a pen. It will cripple our region.


Sec. Salazar Details Offshore Oil and Gas Drilling Moratorium

Interior Secretary Ken Salazar told reporters this afternoon that the Obama Administration is ordering a moratorium on all off-shore oil and gas drilling activity from floating drilling rigs until the President’s commission on the BP incident has completed a more thorough review. At the same time, he said his agency is working to strengthen safety and oversight measures for deep water oil and gas exploration. The moratorium applies to wells in waters above a depth of 500 feet, including 33 deep water rigs that had been permitted in the Gulf of Mexico. Wells that have already started drilling are required to halt operations at the first safe stopping point and then take steps to secure the well.

That’s going to have a deep, sudden impact of the loss of 33,000 good-paying jobs across the Gulf South.

Not within months or even weeks, but starting immediately.
Each of these rigs has a contingent of workers similar to the Deepwater Horizon. There were roughly 125 on board, each worker working 14 days on, 14 off. That’s 250 directly employed on the rig. These workers live, not only in Louisiana, but in Mississippi, Alabama, Texas and Oklahoma, too.

Then there are the crew boats, supply boats, helicopters, survey boats, dock crews, and shore support for the rig. You can easily double the number of jobs in direct support.

A good many of the hands on board worked for service companies like Halliburton, Schlumberger, Oceaneering, and many, many other specialized suppliers. They keep large contingents of workers on call who may be shore-based, but whose jobs depend on the deepwater activity.

It’s not a stretch to say that 1,000 jobs depend on each deepwater rig directly. I’m not counting the indirect effect of these healthy salaries cascading through the economy. If the multiplier is 3, that’s 100,000 jobs.

The thing about deepwater rigs: many of them are owned by foreign-based companies (like Transocean). Rigs are mobile and can be moved to foreign markets. Once they leave it will be difficult to get them back.

Please call or write your Congressman and Senators and ask them to consider the long-term devastating impact that this short sighted decision will have on an already-struggling region.


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33 Comments Leave a comment

Vlad, speaking of Transocean

hungarianfalcon (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 1:37PM EDT (link)

where do you see the culpability for all this playing out? Are they going to try and get the deepest pockets (BP), the most demagogued (Halliburton), or Transocean, or all 3? Fair disclosure, I own stock in RIG.

HF

Probably BP, for reasons to be explained in an upcoming diary. nt

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:26PM EDT (link)

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

 

BP

zuiko (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:56PM EDT (link)

I think it has to get pretty ugly for BP and not just because they have deep pockets. Everything that has come out in the aftermath on things they did and things they didn’t do looks really bad for them.. They seem to have a pretty caviler attitude towards safety. You would think Texas City would have been a wakeup call.

It just sucks that other, more responsible producers are being punished for BP cutting corners.

Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman

Well design considerations aside...

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 5:11PM EDT (link)

…among the vendors who work for us and for BP, BP is safety-obsessed to an extreme degree.

They have an office in my building. All the BP vehicles are backed into their spaces. Company policy. (Not just BP, either.)

I spoke with an acquaintance who left the DH just days before the blowout. He says BP is the most safety-conscious company, and the DH was their best rig. BP was celebrating 6 or 7 years without an incident.

All this begs the question, then how could this happen?

One word comes up when I talk to folks about BP’s safety policies: “Overkill.” There is a law of diminishing returns here, too.

Safety programs focus on things like how you park or how you climb stairs. You watch a lot of videos and congratulate yourself with safety awards and gift certificates.

Your safety organization focuses on the paperwork, and jimmies the numbers so that “reportable incidents” are minimized.

Then the real safety boo-boo is putting yourself in a place where you have 0.001% chance of a catastrophic failure, but that failure, when it happens costs 11 lives and $11 billion to clean up.

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

Maybe it is a case of not being smart about safety

zuiko (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 6:04PM EDT (link)

Not all safety measure are created equal. Seems like it would be better to take an extra 24 hours to deal with potential gas issues before removing the mud on a new well you just finished drilling than to have all your employees back their company vehicles into parking spaces.

According to the reports that are now coming out (the WSJ has a good 2 part series on it), there were a lot of warning about potential gas issues in the 24 hours leading up to it and nothing was done about it, including things that are standard procedure in cases like this, since any action would have cost them time and money. There were even arguments from Transocean and Halliburton about the shortcuts that were being taken in the 24 hours leading up to the accident, but BP had the final say in the matter.

Texas City was similar… there were plenty of design issues there, but also inoperable safety equipment and bad procedures. It wasn’t just a one in a million alignment of events. It was the kind of thing that was destined to blow up in their face eventually and it did, unfortunately killing a lot of workers in the process.

It sounds like they talk a good game but when it really counts they do take chances to save a few bucks.

It is also kind of disturbing that it went on for so long before they hit the BOP because apparently they needed a head honcho to sign off on it. From the timeline it sounds like they waited a good 10-15 minutes, till after the explosion occurred, before trying to trigger the BOP. That’s like having a fire extinguisher in the kitchen of your restaurant but nobody can use it to put out a grease fire till the owner signs off on it.

Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman

MMS encourages "Stop work authority"

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 6:20PM EDT (link)

I don’t understand why they had the policies in place the article describes. Rig floor hands should all be able to identify danger signs & activate BOPs.

And as for the young lady being reprimanded for issuing a mayday, well, that’s just dumb.

But I can guarantee you all hands on board had received proper Marine Debris training. (“Don’t throw cellophane overboard or a sea turtle might choke on it!”) Required annually by MMS. More of this kind of ridiculous s**t to come, to get in the way of stuff that really matters.

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

Vlad, do all rig hands have to have Merchant Mariner credentials?

Achance (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 6:34PM EDT (link)

At least the old Z-card? Any Merchant Mariner credential would assure that everyone on the crew had at least basic safety and fire-fighting training.

In Vino Veritas

Don't know, achance, although I doubt it.

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 10:28PM EDT (link)

The contractors are pretty big on training, not just well control & safety but water survival & helicopter survival. All rig hands may have basic safety, but a large percentage of the personnel are employees of other service companies, so training may not be very uniform.

Average experience level is pretty high, too.

I bet all of them had a TWIC, though. Heh.

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

Betcha the TWIC requirement is holding up a bunch

Achance (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 10:45PM EDT (link)

of work, though. There’s a whole lot of guys who’ve spent their whole lives on the water, skilled mariners, who can’t get near anything commercial anymore because of the TWIC requirements.

In Vino Veritas

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

there goes that "created or saved" metric

Dave Poff (haystack) (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 1:43PM EDT (link)

.

“It does not take a majority to prevail … but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men.”
~Sam Adams

What? You missed the "sacrificed" category? nt

janis (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 1:55PM EDT (link)

facepalm :)

Dave Poff (haystack) (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:15PM EDT (link)

..

“It does not take a majority to prevail … but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men.”
~Sam Adams

Another "crisis" too good to waste! nt

nessa (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:31PM EDT (link)

“If you love wealth more than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, depart from us in peace. We ask not your counsel nor your arms. Crouch down and lick the hand that feeds you. May your chains rest lightly upon you and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen.”—Samuel Adams

Contributor to Unified Patriots

teh twitter

 
 

lol as Michelle said,

blooch Friday, May 28th at 2:45PM EDT (link)

“Barack Obama will require you to shed your cynicism.”

Right this instant, janis!

lol

“Lieutenant Dike wasn’t a bad leader because he made bad decisions. He was a bad leader because he made no decisions.”

 
 

That's OK

zuiko (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 6:06PM EDT (link)

The census can hire these laid off workers 4 or 5 times to make the numbers look good. So, net gain.

Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman

 
 

I welcome this man-made opportunity! It's perfect for....

zollistar (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 1:52PM EDT (link)

…demonstrating:

1. How foolish it is to have such extreme limitations on drilling nearer to shore where, in case of accident, it’s relatively easy to contain the damage;

2. How feckless and knee-jerk demagogic this administration is; and

3. How obsessively focused on the so-called green economy, which is killing us and our way of life.

How about some of you adding additional examples of the “benefits” to this man-made opportunity.

 

Many/most of these wells

gfwarhol Friday, May 28th at 2:33PM EDT (link)

are in international waters, so how can the U.S. dictate what they do?
The decision is totally insane, but in keeping with this administration doing most everything backwards!

They may be in international waters...

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:44PM EDT (link)

… but they are in the “Exclusive Economic Zone” of the U.S., i.e., a 200 mile limit.

The Feds claim the acreage and lease it for oil and gas activity.

State jurisdiction ends at 3 miles or 10 miles, depending on the state. From that line out to 200, it’s all the Feds.

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

I never understood...

dennism (Diary) Saturday, May 29th at 9:04AM EDT (link)

…how the 200 mile limit works with Cuber.

It's 200 mi or halfway, whichever is closer. In the case of Cuber, it's 45 mi. nt

Steve Maley (Diary) Saturday, May 29th at 10:59AM EDT (link)

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

 
 
 
 

Risk is not an option.

Vassar Bushmills (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:44PM EDT (link)

Very Apollonian of him.

That is why the O

Scope (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:50PM EDT (link)

was so confident in his promise that something like this will never happen again.

What we'll get instead...

acat (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:40PM EDT (link)

.. will be rigs operating off the coast of Mexico for a non-U.S. firm.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

 
 
 

There was a caller on Beck's show today

Scope (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 2:45PM EDT (link)

that said he is in the industry, and that he was getting ready to go into a meeting to start discussing major lay offs.

So, all of the foreign owned rigs can keep drilling away, while us suckers shut down, and drive gas up probably to $5 a gallon real soon. If another rig, whoever owns it, has an accident isn’t it going to spill into the same Gulf waters?

I’d be willing to bet that they won’t be back up and running for a very long time, probably until we replace the Marxist regime in Washington.

What would happen if a rig owner refused to shut down? Would it be another Elian Gonzales raid to remove the rig workers, and shut it down themselves?

Would imagine ...

acat (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:48PM EDT (link)

if the rig is independent, i.e. not part of BP, and is truly in international waters, and if the rig can change their contract from, say, BP to PEMEX, then .. they can keep drilling, and the oil will go south.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

 

Most of the rigs are foreign owned or foreign flagged.

Steve Maley (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:49PM EDT (link)

Nobody’s rigs will be working in over 500 ft of water in the U.S. offshore.

This forces the operators of those wells to spend extra money to suspend operations & come back in the future. And that money is spent without hope of an economic return.

If a rig owner refuses to shut down, I would imagine they would be looking down the muzzle of a 5″ gun on the deck of a USCG cutter within a matter of hours.

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

Just curious, where's the USCG authorization?

acat (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:51PM EDT (link)

If the rig is in international waters, and has a contract with PEMEX (or Cuba’s state-owned oil company – any flag, really – what’s to stop ‘em?

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

Nevermind..

acat (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:59PM EDT (link)

you answered this elsewhere. Economic exclusion zone.

Learn something new, or at least how something is applied every day.

Thank you.

Mew

——
self-portrait

Caveat Suffragator

 

Outside 200 miles the USCG has no authorization,

Achance (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 4:01PM EDT (link)

but inside they have godlike powers. When you step over the gunwales of a boat in US waters, you can forget all those delicacies like probable cause and warrants and such. Even though I have the same flag on my boat as they do, I can’t really get comfortable with a CG fast boat coming at me at 50 mph with a 19 year old holding a machine gun trained on my boat, and they do it all the time if you’re anywhere near cruise ships.

When they pull alongside to board you, which they can do if they feel like it and are very likely to do if you have pretty women aboard, all the coxwain’s have this move that they surely practice in the mirror every day where as they turn to you to ask you to board, they let their elbow sweep back their Mustand jacket so you can see their side arm. Even in Alaska where you just assume everybody is armed, it is hard to get comfortable with somebody who has obviously been trained to try to intimidate you.

All that said, they do a great job of SAR and I’m glad to have them out there, but the law enforcement/homeland security stuff has really gotten overbearing.

In Vino Veritas

 
 
 
 

Atlas Shrugs by directive?

libertyshrugged (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 3:01PM EDT (link)

While we are banning drilling

Common_Cents (Diary) Friday, May 28th at 9:15PM EDT (link)

The Chinese gotta be laughing thinking stupid Americans just leaving more for us!

“Fathom the hypocrisy of a Government
that requires every citizen to prove
they are insured…. but not everyone
must prove they are a citizen.”
-Ben Stein

“In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule.”[especially in DC] – Friedrich Nietzsche

 

Some Considerations About Gasoline Prices at the Pump this Summer

cactusjack Friday, May 28th at 11:46PM EDT (link)

Vlad’s engineering and, technical comments from the “upstream” are marvellous, hope we all appreciate them. As to the “downstream” impacts, I saw some questions in these threads last week, what will happen to gasoline prices this summer because of the Deepwater Horizon blow out? Until yesterday the answer would have been, “probably no or not a whole lot of increase; or, if retail prices at the pump do go up in July, it would be not due only to this but other factors as well.” Unfortunately Obama and his people, who don’t have a clue (by his own admission) about the US and worldwide energy industry, its technology and infrastructure, have this picture in their mind, that the US part of the industry is really just one, fat, rich Republican guy sitting in a secret room behind drawn curtains ,with a gasoline price dial he just turns up and up whenever he wants even** more!!** money (don’t forget imagining the sinister laugh and cigar puffing that goes along with this). And if you need more oil, you just turn on the switch at one of those “oil well-thingies” and it gushes out on command. Nothing could be further from the truth of course. The industry particularly in the Gulf region & Southwest is comprised of tens of thousands of American men & women engineers, scientists, geologists, lawyers, accountants, traders, pipeliners, construction supervisors, gang pushers, roustabouts, etc., etc., very dedicated people who are keeping this huge nationwide and worldwide infrastructure functioning, from exploration and drilling at well head (or platform and seabed pipe), to pipeline, to refinery, to distribution to the pump, to your car. . As long as that entire infrastructure is not critically damaged, which in this case it is not, the oil will keep flowing through it, the system will work towards a correction for this one, grievous platform loss (men have lost their lives here, remember), & gasoline should still generally make it to your corner service station & into your tanks for about $3/gallon (more or less) this summer. (A force five direct hurricane strike in the Gulf is of course another matter entirely!) But – with the sweeping moratorium and government action announcements yesterday, which were figured to be coming, and the sense now of how Obama is going to go about this all – retail gasoline price prediction becomes much more uncertain.You see, the commodities traders see future supply diminishing because of the gov’t action/ moratorium, and the futures/contracts prices start up on their own. At the same time the business development types/ economic planners at even the biggest international oil companies, get cautious in their projections, and the managers translate that into project cutbacks and layoff good employees (in my part of the country those are not just statistics, those are friends and neighbors .) This is really the worst time to impose sweeping gov’t action that impacts or threatens future supply. But that is what Obama appears to be doing, thinking he is “helping.” All other factors being equal, this latest means we could very easily have to deal with gasoline price increases this summer tracing back to the federal action. And remember: “oil is in everything.” Medicine, computers, airlines, military, on and on & including gasoline of course. A n increase in price per barrel of oil however it happens is like a tax all through the economy. So Mr President if you are going to take government action affecting this vital industry for regulatory or safety’s sake, you have to go in with a surgeon’s scalpel, not a spiked, 5- ft shillelagh. And not shut down entire zones or classes of exploration/ production (e.g. Shell in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska), while your inside-the- beltway based bureaucrat/inspectors try to find the Gulf on their Michelin Acapulco/Mexican Riviera maps (“ooh can we go clubbing?”) To conclude with another medical analogy, when the patient is sick, don’t, like some 17th century doctor, bleed her by applying leeches, it only makes things worse. In summary, the industry and the market can handle the Deepwater Horizon disaster ,but not so much or so well this coming, big federal intervention and punitive taxation (oh yes it’s also being prepared ) which doesn’t have to be done, after all . History shows Carter’s windfall profits tax was exactly the wrong thing @ the wrong time, it retarded exploration and cut supply, for years afterwards. But what can we expect from national leaders who do not understand or choose to ignore: a) basic Econ 101 supply and demand; b) how many hundreds of thousands of ,Americans directly or indirectly owe their livelihood to this industry; and c) the core position of energy in this nation’s economy and national security.

 

If it either:

anotherindyfilmguy (Diary) Saturday, May 29th at 1:03PM EDT (link)

Creates a crisis to exploit
or
hurts America

The O is there doing what his handlers help him to do best…

Exploit the crisis or hurt America… in this case it’s a two’fer for the O…

Impeachment cannot come soon enough.

Memo to Dems – wanna keep your cushy house seats? Start the impeachment of the O before the Summer is out… when gas prices skyrocket and unemployment swells and this asshat has the audacity to blame big oil for him having to shut down all these operations and blames Bush (again and again) for everything under the sun YOU will pay for it at the elections… come to think of it, impeachment may even not be enough to save your jobs thanks to the health care power grab. But if you impeach and remove you can at least take him into the ranks of the former government salaried asshats and severely annoy mr.perfect there…

Razz Etc!
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