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Poll Says GOP and Democrats Agree on Timing of Trump Document Trial - for Very Different Reasons

AP Photo/Alex Brandon

The 2024 presidential election cycle could be shaping up to be one of the most unusual in American history. While President Joe Biden insists he is running for reelection at age 80, it is becoming more and more apparent that age and reduced mental acuity could prevent him from doing so. And his primary Republican opponent, at least at this point, former President Donald Trump, is facing several legal hurdles involving so-called “hush money” payments and classified documents. A new Politico Magazine/Ipsos poll shows some interesting results when Americans are asked about the timing of any possible trials involving Trump. The one area of agreement between Republicans and Democrats seems to be that any trial should occur before any Republican primaries and well before the general election. While this one area of bipartisanship might be a bit odd, it is happening for very different reasons.

The poll was conducted between June 27-28. It samples 1,005 adults age 18 and over online. When asked if they believe Trump is guilty of improperly retaining classified documents, those results were unsurprising, with 81 percent of Democrats, 25 percent of Republicans, and 36 percent of Independents saying yes. When asked about Trump’s guilt or innocence in the Manhattan case involving falsifying business records in relation to alleged payments to porn star Stormy Daniels, the same number of Democrats, 81 percent, said they believe he is guilty in that case, while 24 percent of Republicans said they believe he is guilty.

But it is here where things got a bit more intriguing. When asked if Trump should be tried before the 2024 election, of those polled, 62 percent said yes, with 46 percent of Republicans, 48 percent of independents, and a hefty 86 percent of Democrats saying yes. Why might a significant number of Democrats want any potential trial of Donald Trump done and over with before the election? This could be for several reasons.

In all fairness, the relatively small number of Republicans that would want a trial in the rearview mirror come election time is a bit of a head-scratcher as well. One might think that Republicans would view Trump being on trial at the height of the election season as an in-kind donation of sorts to the Democrat Party at least — if not straight-up election interference. It is plausible that Democrats could see a long drawn-out legal process, portraying Trump as a perpetually harassed victim of the deep state, might garner him more sympathy and support, possibly sealing the deal with many independent voters.

But, at least in this case, timing is everything. A trial at the height of election season that no doubt would get wall-to-wall coverage by the mainstream media and accompanying “analysis” by said mainstream media legal “experts” could be seen as nothing short of Christmas and their birthdays all rolled into one for Democrats. If they could manage to get Trump convicted, a sentencing phase would ensue, also in the heat of an election cycle, which brings us to some more poll results. When asked what the punishment should be if Trump is convicted, just 16 percent of Republicans said he should face jail time, 33 percent of independents said jail time — a compelling result on its own — and not unexpected, 73 percent of Democrats said Trump should get an orange jumpsuit, solidifying the fact that, for many of those Democrats, a conviction and subsequent prison time would be the culmination of years of work for them.

There are other factors at work to consider also. There is the fact that each time he has been indicted, Trump’s poll numbers continue to rise. Another concern for Democrats could be that if legal proceedings drag on and Trump is reelected, he could shut down any prosecution. Then there is the debate over whether, if reelected, Trump could pardon himself. Unity and bipartisanship might be nice things to aspire to, but when it comes to the fate of Donald Trump, the reasons behind voters’ preferences on it are anything but.

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