Hispanic Voters Heading for the Exits on Democrats in a Big Way - and Heading for Trump and GOP

ISAAC BREKKEN

As President Joe Biden becomes more and more bizarre, and the Democrats keep telling Americans that everything is fine, it's just their imagination, more traditional Democrat voting blocs are saying enough and taking a second look at Donald Trump and the Republicans. 

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One of the biggest of those groups of reliably Democratic voters is Hispanics. Joe Biden and his Party are beginning to realize this could be a serious problem, so much so that at a Phoenix Mexican restaurant in March, Biden seemed to be begging Hispanic voters not to abandon Democrats. 

“I need you badly. You’re the reason why, in large part, I beat Donald Trump," Biden told the crowd.

But Hispanic voters don't appear to be buying what Joe Biden is selling them. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll has Donald Trump pulling in 41 percent of Hispanic voters to Joe Biden's 50 percent. A gap that might be overcome with some hardcore outreach. A recent Ipsos poll only makes the bad news worse for Democrats. Since Joe Biden took office in 2021, Trump has gained 29 points among Hispanic voters. 

Among those Hispanics who plan to vote in November, Bide has just a three-point lead. When it comes to handling the economy, Trump is the winner hands down with a 22-point lead on Biden, and Trump leads Biden by 11 points on who Hispanic voters think can reduce crime.

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Hispanic voters are not alone. Black and Asian voters who have traditionally voted Democrat are looking for an alternative as well. Democrats may be looking at the least amount of influence they have had among those communities in 60 years. Those results are not just being seen in Siena college polls but also in Gallup and Wall Street Journal polls as well. 

In the end, Hispanic as well as black men could vote for Donald Trump in numbers not seen since the 1950s.

Democrats have long assumed that Hispanic voters are one issue voters, that issue being immigration. But as early as the beginning of 2024, Hispanic leaders were declaring the Hispanic vote as "up for grabs," and that immigration was not the only thing worrying Hispanic voters. 

Inflation, the economy, and Joe Biden's open border were also equally as concerning for Hispanics as other Americans. 

Disgruntled Democrat Hispanic voters are also crossing over to disgruntled Democrat black voters. In March, the black unemployment rate rose to 6.4 percent. For black women, the unemployment number grew substantially from 4.4 percent to 5.6 percent. unemployment among black men rose slightly from 6.1 percent to 6.2 percent. 

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Hispanic voters' flirtation with the Democrat party has not lasted as long as some might think. Their support for Barack Obama might have been more like a blip than a full-scale shift. Before Obama, George W. Bush carried the Hispanic vote by 40 percent in 2004. Go further back and Ronald Reagan carried 35 percent of Hispanic votes in 1988. 

There are 3.2 million Hispanics who are eligible to vote, making up roughly 14.7 percent of the electorate, up from 13.6 percent in 2020. If the Hispanic vote is truly up for grabs in 2024, that will make things very interesting come November.


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