The latest poll shows that the “electability” of former VP Joe Biden isn’t keeping his numbers up.
According to The Hill, a Monmouth University Poll shows that Biden’s approval numbers are in free fall, and have now dropped below 20 percent, and statistically tying him with Sens Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren:
The survey showed Biden with support from 19 percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters nationally, a double-digit decline from Monmouth’s most recent poll in June when he led the pack with 32 percent.
Now, the dynamics have changed, according to the Monmouth survey. Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), the primary field’s top progressive candidates, are each at 20 percent, putting them in a statistical tie with Biden and indicating a tightening three-way race.
Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, senses a changing in the tide due to creeping doubts about Biden’s relatability.
“The main takeaway from this poll is that the Democratic race has become volatile,” Murray said. “Liberal voters are starting to cast about for a candidate they can identify with. Moderate voters, who have been paying less attention, seem to be expressing doubts about Biden.”
He also added, however, that instead of searching for a candidate that aligns more with their beliefs and values, Democrat voters are just landing on those with higher name recognition.
Biden’s main threat seems to be Sanders.
A Hill-HarrisX poll released on Monday shows that of all the candidates they may jump from Biden for, Sanders takes the lead by 35 percent, and that’s an eight-point increase from the last time the poll was taken in May. The runner up is Warren at 20 percent, but she had the largest jump of 12-points from May.
While Sanders may have more recognition, Warren seems to have the most momentum.
I personally think that by the end of it all, Biden will have fallen off and we’ll get Warren as the 2020 Democratic candidate. Unless Biden can suddenly turn his image around and begin pushing back aggressively and without fault, he may recover his lead. The problem for Biden throughout this 2020 election cycle, however, has been Biden.
The guy is a gaffe factory who often finds himself saying foolish things and misremembering everything else. It’s gotten so bad that he recently had to reassure Democratic voters that he’s “not going nuts.”
Meanwhile, Warren is gaining popularity. Her stances are just as radical as some of the more out-there candidates, but as Monmouth’s President pointed out, it’s not about values here, it’s about popularity and name recognition. Warren is playing that fiddle prettily.
Expect Biden to be shrugged off by many more Democrats before this is done.