Donald Trump

President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a campaign rally, Thursday, Aug. 15, 2019, in Manchester, N.H. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

 

In an appearance on CNN this week, Michael Bloomberg’s campaign manager, Kevin Sheekey, said: “The impeachment proceedings are making the president’s reelection more likely.”

CNN host Christiane Amanpour remarked that “many Democrats are not going to like to hear that.”

Here’s something else the Democrats won’t want to hear.

President Trump’s campaign manager, Brad Parscale, released some very surprising data gathered from attendees at his Tuesday night rally in Broward, FL, which is guaranteed to send a shiver up Adam Schiff’s spine.

Of the 31,177 voters who provided data, 24% were Democrats. The significance of this is monumental. I wonder what the percentage of Republicans attending Democratic rallies is. I imagine it would be low to nil.

This tells us that a sizable percentage of Democrats are looking at the weak field of candidates and are searching for an alternative. I would guess many of them are turned off by the injustice of the current impeachment inquiry as well as the party’s sharp left turn. It might surprise Democrats to hear that not every Democrat supports impeachment or the vision of a socialist America.

The next data point showed that 19% had voted once or less in the last four elections. Can you imagine if this group were to actually go to the polls next year and cast their ballot for Trump? It’s not a crazy assumption. It takes less time and effort to cast a vote than to attend a campaign rally.

Finally, Parscale found that 27% of them were Hispanic. The implications of such a strong Hispanic presence lays waste to the Democratic talking point that Trump’s insistence on building a border wall and taking a tougher stand against illegal immigration is resonating. A 27% Hispanic turnout for a Trump rally is impressive. The Hispanic vote will have a big impact on the results in 2020.

Parscale’s comment on this data was encouraging. He wrote, “Incredible data from a county that is predominantly blue. Put Florida in the win column for 2020!”

Below is the data from two previous Trump rallies. At the November 1st rally held in Tupelo, MS, 27% of the voters identified as Democrats. 20% of attendees were black. This statistic corroborates recent polling which shows African-American support for Trump is increasing at a meaningful rate.

The statistics were slightly lower, but not by much, for a Dallas, TX rally held on October 17th. 21% of voters identified as Democrats.

I’ve watched the last several Trump rallies on television and I’ve concluded:

1. There is no way that any of the 2020 Democratic candidates could ever attract the crowd sizes that Trump regularly receives at his rallies.

2. Nor would supporters line up hours in advance to hear any of them speak.

3. No one in the current field could generate the level of excitement Trump creates routinely at these events.

4. President Trump connects with attendees on an emotional level.

5. Trump himself loves holding rallies and the crowd feels it, knows it.