Republican Roy Moore has a slim lead in the Alabama count to the moment, but heavy Democrat areas are left to count. If Democrat Doug Jones wins, here’s what’s going to happen.


Former Alabama Chief Justice and U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore, talks to constituents before a Republican Senate candidate forum, Friday, Aug. 4, 2017, in Pelham, Ala. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)

This map by 538’s Nate Cohn is telling:

Major Democrat areas in Birmingham, Montgomery, Huntsville, and Mobile are still left to count, but Moore ‘s areas left to count are smaller than all of those. That doesn’t mean Jones is going to win, notwithstanding current New York Times projections, but it means Jones could win.

So I’m going to call it now, exactly what will happen if Jones wins. We’re going to hear it first on Prison Planet, then on Breitbart, and eventually it will trickle down to Fox News, but the theory will spread that the Democrats held back their precinct returns to find out how much Moore “won” by, and therefore manufactured fraudulent ballots in order to make up the difference.

It’s such an easy, unprovable conspiracy theory. They’ll point to existing examples of fraud in the past, in other places, as all the “proof” they ever need, and it will become a Known Fact™ that Roy Moore actually won, but he was cheated.

If Doug Jones wins tonight, Alabama will be the latest Stab in the Back theory that Trump hardliners will never stop whining about. I’m laying the marker now.