AP featured image
President Donald Trump speaks in the Rose Garden of the White House, Monday, June 1, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

Rasmussen is out with a poll that has some astonishing “black likely voter” approval numbers for President Donald Trump.

Now there’s a lot that has been going on that might influence those numbers.

Trump achieving the lowest black unemployment in 50 years prior to the pandemic and more capable of getting the economy back on track post-pandemic, far more so than Biden.

There’s Joe Biden’s “You ain’t black” if you don’t vote for him comment, insulting black Americans and reminding people of his racist comments throughout his career. Add that to his failure to improve things in his 36 years in the Senate and 8 years as Vice President. Plus Biden’s 1994 crime bill, which some belief led to greater incarceration versus Trump’s criminal justice reform bill, with the First Step Act.

Then there are the riots and the pandemic with people able to see the choices that Democrats made versus those Trump made, with Democrats for sure coming up short. With the pandemic, Democrats are being seen as wanting to deny people the right to work to support their families. With the riots, Democrats are seen as not being effective in addressing them and seen as excusing rioters who have adversely impacted black lives, jobs and businesses.

The actual number was 41% with “strong approval” at 25% and other non-white likely voter approval at 43%

Now that’s so high, it’s hard to believe. Rasmussen does trend more favorable to Trump, but it also was the most accurate in 2016.

But if it’s anywhere close, that can spell big trouble for Democrats and Joe Biden if the race is close.

Trump got 8% of the black vote in 2016 and he surely seems on track to do much better this time around because of his work to earn it. As Biden indicated he thinks he deserves the black vote, hasn’t done anything to earn it, indeed has said and done things to un-earn it.

With the pandemic and more businesses being injured by riots, the vote is going to depend more than ever on prospects for the economy. That definitely favors Trump.