President Donald Trump gestures as he speaks at his Black Voices for Trump rally Friday, Nov. 8, 2019, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Florida in what was a disastrous series of losses for Clinton in key battleground states she needed to win on election day.
A new Florida poll released this week shows President Trump looking stronger in the state almost 4 years later, thanks in part to gains he’s made among African-American voters and Latino voters.
According to 2016 exit polls for Florida, Trump won 35% of the Latino vote and just 8% of the black vote. But a new Florida Atlantic University BEPI poll taken last week shows support from both voting blocs has jumped:
While exit polls show that Trump won 35 percent of Florida’s Hispanic vote in 2016, the March FAU study finds the president winning 45.4 of the coveted constituency to Biden’s 54.6 percent.
Sanders … would fare even worse against Trump among Florida Hispanics. The FAU poll shows Trump winning 47.5 percent of the Hispanic vote to the Vermont democratic socialist’s 52.5 percent
His improved standing with black voters is just as impressive:
For instance, in 2016, Trump won 8% of black voters in Florida compared to Hillary Clinton’s 84%. Fast-forward four years and Trump is standing at 18.1% and a whopping 27.3% against Biden and Sanders, respectively. Either would be a historic improvement for Republicans among black voters who make-up 14 percent of Florida’s electorate.
Click the “results” tab on this page to get a more detailed picture of the data.
The poll’s sampling of black (157) and Latino (247) voters was small, but the Latino numbers are in line with other recent national polls showing that Trump has made significant inroads in Latino communities.
As I’ve said before, if Trump can peel off even a small percentage from each voting bloc in crucial battleground states, it’s game over for Democrats, and that includes in down-ballot races.
The Trump campaign has been making an aggressive push to win a larger percentage of so-called minority voters than they did in 2016. There’s still a long way to go between now and November, of course, but it sounds like the campaign has a good shot at making that happen in Florida.
As Joe Biden would say, it would be a big f—in deal for Trump to win Florida twice in a row.