martin o'malley

I am a minority of one among the contributors at RedState.

I don’t believe Hillary Clinton CAN win the presidency for the simple reason that her only compelling cases for election are “I slept with Bill Clinton” and “You owe me.” She doesn’t have a natural constituency inside the Democrat party that is enthusiastic about voting for her, other than elderly far-left harpies. And I don’t believe Hillary Clinton CAN win a fight for the nomination if at least one breathing (mostly) person gets into the race. She is a very weak candidate who has never shown any interest in campaigning. If everyone bows out, she’ll take the job. Otherwise, I believe there is a very good chance she may not even run.

This brings me to the second point on which I am a minority. Former Maryland governor, Martin O’Malley.

If you watched the HBO series The Wire, you know Martin O’Malley. It was the character Thomas Carcetti played pitch perfect by Aidan Gillen. I lived in Maryland and blogged his defeat of Republican Bob Erhlich at my RedMaryland site. No one was surprised that he defeated Ehrlich (a fate that I am sure awaits incumbent Larry Hogan when there is no populist outpouring of resistance in 2018), that was sort of baked-in. What was masterful was the way he sand-socked his democrat rivals. When he took over state government, he moved quickly to install loyalists in key positions and ruthlessly excised any state employees who didn’t get with his program. He rewarded his friends (the voters of Montgomery County, Prince Georges County, and Baltimore City) and he shamelessly starved the rest of the state of of funds.

Over the weekend, O’Malley stuck his toe in the waters of the 2016 campaign and seems to have found he liked it:

Without ever directly attacking the former secretary of state during an appearance on ABC’s “This Week,” O’Malley portrayed himself as a new face for the Democratic Party and a progressive alternative, more willing to directly confront inequality and take on Wall Street.

“I think that our country always benefits from new leadership and new perspectives,” he said. “Let’s be honest here, the presidency of the United States is not some crown to be passed between two families. It is an awesome and sacred trust.”

The former governor, who often trails Clinton by 50 percentage points or more in early-state polls, could end up being Clinton’s only challenger for the Democratic presidential nomination. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is also weighing a race, and Vice President Joe Biden has yet to rule it out.

“We need a president who is ready to take on powerful and wealthy special interests,” O’Malley said.

Asked if Clinton was the right candidate to take on those special interests, O’Malley said: “I don’t know. I don’t know where she stands. Will she represent a break with the failed policies of the past? I don’t know.”

The answers to O’Malley’s questions are obvious. He knows she won’t take on special interests because the Clintons are a special interest. She can’t break with the policies of the past, failed or otherwise, because she was part of the administration that created those problems. She can’t campaign on what should be her strong suit — foreign policy — because even the media is beginning to notice just how screwed up US foreign policy is and a straight line is being drawn back to Clinton’s disastrous “Arab Spring” adventure.

I happen to agree with O’Malley that both Bush and Clinton are bad for the republic both in substance and in symbology.

Some have said it is too late for O’Malley to get into the race. As of now, the only person in the race is [mc_name name=’Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)’ chamber=’senate’ mcid=’C001098′ ]. If O’Malley declares in the next couple of months you will see money and staff run, not walk, from Clinton to him and, as he won’t have to worry about a primary season because there is literally no one else looking like they are interested in running, he will have plenty of time and a press that will be much more allied with him than they will be with Clinton.

Don’t underestimate O’Malley. Don’t make the mistake, a la George H. W. Bush and his staff, of dismissing him as “the failed governor of a small state.” He loves to campaign. He loves retail politics. He’s smart. He’s focused. He’s ruthless. He’s utterly without scruples. If he decides to get in the race, Hillary is deader than she was in 2008 and 2016 will be a very difficult election for the GOP.