Today’s hot rumor comes from James Pethokoukis: essentially, the White House (which is becoming increasingly frantic about the way that their Super Magical Unicorn Genius economic plans aren’t working) is scheming to partially bail out people with underwater mortgages. I know, I know: the government was not supposed to acquire Fannie/Freddie just to completely rewrite their balance sheets, but the existing scheme to let the mortgage industry gradually repair itself was apparently… a Super Magical Unicorn Genius economic plan. This new plan won’t do a thing for F/F’s value as companies, but then this wouldn’t be an economic strategy. It’s pretty blatantly a political one.
The mortgage Hail Mary would be a last-gasp effort to prevent this from happening and to save the Obama agenda. The political calculation is that the number of grateful Americans would be greater than those offended that they — and their children and their grandchildren — would be paying for someone else’s mortgage woes.
You know, I happen to have an underwater mortgage: we bought our house at exactly the wrong moment in time. Do you know what we’re doing about it? WE’RE MAKING OUR MORTGAGE PAYMENTS, that’s what we’re doing about it. Because we sat down and worked out how much we could afford to spend beforehand, then we stuck to that number like glue. In other words, I don’t need a handout to pay my bills, and I really don’t need to spend another insanely large sum of money (Hot Air thinks that it could reach 100 billion, which is a large sum of money, even today) that my kids are just going to have to repay later, after the President retires to the global cocktail circuit. And I know that people are going to argue that the majority of Americans can be short-termed bribed in this fashion, but you know something? I don’t think it’ll work. Particularly when it comes to people who have kids.
At some point the Democrats are going to have to accept the fact that you cannot finesse your way out of some situations, and that this is one of those times. Yes, it is going to be incredibly painful for long-term, still-serving federal politicians who can be linked to the crisis. Yes, thanks to 2006 and 2008 that’s going to disproportionately hurt Democrats. Yes, Republican and conservative operatives like myself will (deservedly) mock their pain for it.
Welcome to reality.
Moe Lane
Crossposted to Moe Lane.
Jeff Emanuel
How about those apartment dwellers?
harlan Thursday, August 5th at 10:12AM EDT (link)A very great many of us who live within our budgets have chosen not to purchase a home, and thus endure apartment living.
And yet, we’ll be paying for a bunch of privileged characters to live in comfort in their own home?
If this administration persists in this, yet another bribe with “obama money”, I’m here to tell you that there will indeed be a tax revolt.
Hey Moe,
romeg Thursday, August 5th at 10:17AM EDT (link)It ain’t just mortgages that they are bailing out.
There is a program called “Last Chance” for renters who are in arrears at least 3 months and whose current balance owed is not more than $3000.00 or the landlord is willing to settle for a maximum of $3000.00 and allow the tenants to stay in the property.
How do I know about this program? Because I must confess that I have agreed to accept such a settlement on behalf of my distressed tenants.
It is administered by City/County EOC agencies but paid by The United Way which strikes me as a very weird arrangement indeed.
If you and I entered into such as scheme I think the charge would be “Money Laundering”.
“Of all tyrannies a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victim may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron’s cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated, but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.” – C. S. Lewis
If you give em stuff
smitch61 Thursday, August 5th at 10:23AM EDT (link)They will vote for you. I am sure here in MI many would jump at that.
if you
rdelbov Thursday, August 5th at 10:29AM EDT (link)think Social Security is a Ponzi scam this bailout plan doubles it down.
As I understand this plan it comes about because obamanomics has shafted the economy and mortgage rates are at historic lows. Yet trillions of mortgages at higher rates as they are unable to refinance them due to declining home values. So you just magically reset all of them at lower rates. Wow what a deal for millions of homeowners. Does sound like pixie magic.
So how about all those Ginnie Mae & Fannie Mae holders who have trillions invested in securities that represent the ownership of those mortgages. The underlying securities are now paying 4% instead of say 7% or paying 3% instead of 5 or 6%. Do they get their income cut in halve? That would wreck the market value of their securities.
So who comes up with the 30 billion per year to subsidy the trillion in loan adjustments?
Does anyone know??
I have an idea and unless Bernanke can use magic dust its old man deficit.
What a fail
vital0gy Thursday, August 5th at 10:30AM EDT (link)I lost our home in 2004 about a year after my wife passed. Even though it was a tragedy, I didn’t expect anyone to save me. It was our fault that we planned on affording our home with both of our salaries. If we had been smarter then we would have only budgeted our home off of one salary. But again, this was our fault for not being financially prudent. It’s a shame that our son had to suffer, but that’s the way it goes. He will have learned an important lesson in life. It’s a shame these other homeowners will not have to learn from their mistakes. Instead, we’ll prop them up just so they can repeat the same mistakes down the road.
Is this "throwing good money after bad?
johnt Thursday, August 5th at 10:42AM EDT (link)It would, if in fact it was good money & not the out of control printing press kind fueled by stupidity and a gigantic cynicism.
The thugs have dug themselves into a hole and all they can do is dig deeper. The problem is, they are dragging the normal people down with them.
“a man’s admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him”. Tocqueville
every time I read RedState I get furious
partyof1 Thursday, August 5th at 10:53AM EDT (link)Each new bribe is more galling than the last. It’s so blatant now. They have no shame at all. Then they’ll smack themselves on the forehead and say “hey, look at all this debt, we need a Value Added Tax!” And there’ll be plenty of Republicans who “reluctantly” go along.
And they’ll import from Mexico the support that they can’t buy from Americans (amnesty).
America, land of the bought, home of the dependent. ’cause that worked out so well for the Soviets.
I can't wait to hear the Rick Santelli rant. He's due for another one.
usadying (Diary) Thursday, August 5th at 11:00AM EDT (link)Why are we surprised at this? It’s redistribution of wealth at its finest and buying off the middle class for their votes. In the meantime Barney Frank et al make millions because Fannie and Freddie have an unlimited bailout from the taxpayers (that little gem was announce at midnight on Christmas Eve). U.S. bankruptcy may be here a lot faster than we thought. And Obama will be president for life.
No Surprise is Correct
coldair Thursday, August 5th at 11:05AM EDT (link)Exactly right – the purpose is two-fold. First to buy the votes of the ignorant and irresponsible (sadly, a majority of the electorate, as we know from the last couple elections) – and it will succeed; the only question is whether the people whose votes are bought will show up in sufficient numbers this November to counter the conservative resurgence.
Second, and even more important, once done – this will probably be harder to reverse (unless the Courts actually rule it illegal for some reason – like not being passed by Congress) than ObamaCare. And it represents a significant step in Lord Zero’s Central Agenda: the socialization (read, economic destruction) of America.
Why is it only wealth redistribution
Death_of_the_Donkey (Diary) Thursday, August 5th at 2:26PM EDT (link)when it goes one way? I implore you to read the following article over at Seeking Alpha on income distribution in the US:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/164784-on-income-distribution-and-aggregate-demand-in-the-u-s
Under the Reagan boom, the top .01% of earners took home roughly 2.5% of total income, today that number is 6%. Under Reagan, the top 10% (inflation adjusted) took home roughly $500,000, today that is over $1,000,000, while the bottom 90% has stagnated. That also appears to be a redistribution of wealth and yet we only seem to criticize policies that may work towards getting the distribution back towards the glory of the Reagan years (and no Obamacare doesn’t count as it is more of a cluster**** than a real effort at redistribution of wealth).
Having said all that, the devil is in the details of this potential housing plan. If it is just a pure giveaway, then it is probably a bad idea. However, if we can truly get a fix to the housing market then I personally don’t care about bailing out my irresponsible neighbors (I saved up and put 20% down on a fairly valued house in 2008 so am not underwater) because foreclosures (which have a higher propensity when one is underwater) hurt the entire neighborhood affecting everyone’s home values, city services, and will lead to local tax increases.
And as it turns out
Death_of_the_Donkey (Diary) Thursday, August 5th at 3:24PM EDT (link)Calculated Risk is already debunking the likelihood of this rumor being true, with the caveat that of course the administration is going to keep working on “fixing” housing.
Yeah, Ri-i-i-ght!
creditman Thursday, August 5th at 11:06AM EDT (link)Can’t get the redistribution of wealth done it time?
One of the first things taught in economics is that if everyone had the same amount of wealth tomorrow, in 20 years the concentrations of wealth would be as they are now. That’s to say that human nature isn’t taken into account in the unicorn world of the socialist.
This last gasp will still further drive down real estate values. It will also drive down the tax incomes of local governments that depend upon property taxes.
These rats are cornered. We will nail them with pleasure.
Good For You!!!!
KevinM Thursday, August 5th at 11:12AM EDT (link)It’s too bad many other homeowners lack the integrity that you have. It was the forced (by the government) purchasing and financing of homes that many people couldn’t afford that triggered the current economic crisis. You did the right thing, you bought a home that you could afford based on your circumstances at the time and don’t expect the government to give you a handout.
At the risk of sounding like I’m bragging, I must admit that I am not making my mortgage payments. That’s because I don’t have any. I paid off my house a few years ago. I’ve been in the same house for 27 years.
What about other "underwater" purchases?
evanm (Diary) Thursday, August 5th at 11:33AM EDT (link)Great post, Moe. I can’t help but wonder: What about other “underwater” purchases?
Homes aren’t the only purchases that people end up upside-down on during the course of paying them off. Why doesn’t the Obama Administration help people recoup their investments in those things, as well?
My car loan has been upside-down since the day I signed the paperwork.
I couldn’t sell my college education if I wanted to. It will be upside-down until the day I pay it off.
I purchased an untoward quantity of consumer electronics on a line of credit with my local bank. None of these items are worth what I owe today- or even close. Most of them would have negligible resale value. Will government pay off the difference of these?
Why is it that, because some purchaser’s expectations were upset, the government has to intervene and “make it right?” This is endlessly infuriating to me, as someone who didn’t purchase a home at “exactly the wrong time,” but instead rented until the right moment.
Punish success and reward failure with a bottomless treasury for an insatiable lobby. Unlimited guaranty. Zero responsibility.
Wish I jump on board the "It's not going to work" wagon...
charlesmartel Thursday, August 5th at 12:15PM EDT (link)…but I can’t. Why shouldn’t it work? What in the past ten or fifteen years would make you think that a majority of people in this country are capable or willing of thinking past the next month or so? If someone’s willing to throw them a pile of money and thereby instantly alleviate the worry and stress and heartache that’s been plaguing them and keeping them from living the high-life they “deserve,” what would make you think they’d care about their kids or grandkids?
And after this, it’s student loan forgiveness.